Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.7845306 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Furman Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 84.9) 19- 4 216 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 5-10, 86.9) 21- 5 222 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 2-10, 88.2) 18- 5 301 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 98.1) 10-11 307 A Princeton Ivy ( 7- 6, 94.9) 13-11 311 H Bucknell Patriot ( 7- 8, 92.1) 20- 4 315 A Duke ACC (17- 3, 99.9) 8- 9 o 318 H Harvard Ivy (10- 7, 94.9) 13-10 322 H Maryland ACC (13- 4, 98.4) 11- 8 329 A Johns Hopkins Independent (11- 5, 97.7) 13- 9 405 H Virginia ACC (10- 6, 96.2) 11-10 412 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 96.8) 10-11 2o 418 A High Point Atlantic Sun ( 9- 7, 89.8) 12- 8 426 N Virginia ACC (10- 6, 96.2) 11-13 510 A Denver Big East (16- 3, 98.8) 5- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Furman 19- 4 15 12 0.00 216 H Manhattan 21- 5 16 12 0.00 222 H Dartmouth 18- 5 13 11 0.00 301 H Notre Dame 10-11 -1 1 - -2.64 307 A Princeton 13-11 2 2 -0.97 311 H Bucknell 20- 4 16 7 + 2.32 315 A Duke 8- 9 o -1 -2 1.08 318 H Harvard 13-10 3 4 -1.84 322 H Maryland 11- 8 3 1 1.67 329 A Johns Hopkins 13- 9 4 0 + 3.88 405 H Virginia 11-10 1 3 - -2.52 412 A Syracuse 10-11 2o -1 1 - -2.02 418 A High Point 12- 8 4 7 - -3.98 426 N Virginia 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.56 510 A Denver 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.07UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 N Virginia 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.56 301 H Notre Dame 10-11 -1 1 - -2.64 405 H Virginia 11-10 1 3 - -2.52 412 A Syracuse 10-11 2o -1 1 - -2.02 418 A High Point 12- 8 4 7 - -3.98 510 A Denver 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.07OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Bucknell 20- 4 16 7 + 2.32 329 A Johns Hopkins 13- 9 4 0 + 3.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.78 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 86.62 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 12 Championship Probability . 15.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 16.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7