Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.7845306    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Furman                 Atlantic Sun  ( 1-12, 84.9)    19- 4   
 216 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 5-10, 86.9)    21- 5   
 222 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 2-10, 88.2)    18- 5   
 301 H Notre Dame             ACC           (12- 6, 98.1)    10-11   
 307 A Princeton              Ivy           ( 7- 6, 94.9)    13-11   
 311 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 7- 8, 92.1)    20- 4   
 315 A Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 99.9)     8- 9  o
 318 H Harvard                Ivy           (10- 7, 94.9)    13-10   
 322 H Maryland               ACC           (13- 4, 98.4)    11- 8   
 329 A Johns Hopkins          Independent   (11- 5, 97.7)    13- 9   
 405 H Virginia               ACC           (10- 6, 96.2)    11-10   
 412 A Syracuse               ACC           (11- 5, 96.8)    10-11 2o
 418 A High Point             Atlantic Sun  ( 9- 7, 89.8)    12- 8   
 426 N Virginia               ACC           (10- 6, 96.2)    11-13   
 510 A Denver                 Big East      (16- 3, 98.8)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Furman                 19- 4      15    12           0.00
   216 H Manhattan              21- 5      16    12           0.00
   222 H Dartmouth              18- 5      13    11           0.00
   301 H Notre Dame             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.64
   307 A Princeton              13-11       2     2          -0.97
   311 H Bucknell               20- 4      16     7    +      2.32
   315 A Duke                    8- 9  o   -1    -2           1.08
   318 H Harvard                13-10       3     4          -1.84
   322 H Maryland               11- 8       3     1           1.67
   329 A Johns Hopkins          13- 9       4     0    +      3.88
   405 H Virginia               11-10       1     3    -     -2.52
   412 A Syracuse               10-11 2o   -1     1    -     -2.02
   418 A High Point             12- 8       4     7    -     -3.98
   426 N Virginia               11-13      -2     2    --    -4.56
   510 A Denver                  5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 N Virginia               11-13      -2     2    --    -4.56
   301 H Notre Dame             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.64
   405 H Virginia               11-10       1     3    -     -2.52
   412 A Syracuse               10-11 2o   -1     1    -     -2.02
   418 A High Point             12- 8       4     7    -     -3.98
   510 A Denver                  5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Bucknell               20- 4      16     7    +      2.32
   329 A Johns Hopkins          13- 9       4     0    +      3.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.78 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.62 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .   15.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/