Conf = ECAC-II                    Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Griffins               Coach  = Brian Novotny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0796738    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Ohio Valley            ECAC-II       ( 2-14, 70.6)    19- 1   
 222 H NYIT                   East Coast    (12- 4, 87.4)    10- 9   
 301 A Chestnut Hill          East Coast    ( 7- 6, 83.6)    14-12   
 308 A Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (12- 4, 87.3)    10- 7   
 315 H Limestone              Carolinas     (19- 1, 91.9)     7-13   
 322 A Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 9- 5, 86.3)     7- 8   
 329 H Molloy                 East Coast    ( 8- 6, 83.9)    10- 7   
 403 H Rollins                Sunshine Stat ( 6- 9, 81.2)    14- 8   
 406 H Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (10- 4, 86.9)    13-18   
 409 A Walsh                  ECAC-II       ( 4- 7, 72.8)    19-10   
 412 H Wheeling Jesuit        ECAC-II       (10- 3, 84.9)    12-18   
 416 A Alderson Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 0-14, 67.8)    21- 7   
 419 H Lindenwood             ECAC-II       ( 5- 7, 81.3)    13- 8   
 426 A Catawba                South Atlanti ( 7- 8, 81.6)    10-11   
 502 A Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (12- 4, 87.3)    10- 9   
 504 N Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (10- 4, 86.9)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Ohio Valley            19- 1      18    15           0.00
   222 H NYIT                   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.05
   301 A Chestnut Hill          14-12       2     0           1.70
   308 A Mercyhurst             10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.40
   315 H Limestone               7-13      -6    -5          -0.40
   322 A Pfeiffer                7- 8      -1    -2           1.42
   329 H Molloy                 10- 7       3     2           0.57
   403 H Rollins                14- 8       6     5           0.85
   406 H Lake Erie              13-18      -5     0    --    -4.40
   409 A Walsh                  19-10       9    11          -1.00
   412 H Wheeling Jesuit        12-18      -6     1    ---   -7.36
   416 A Alderson Broaddus      21- 7      14    16           0.00
   419 H Lindenwood             13- 8       5     5          -0.03
   426 A Catawba                10-11      -1     2    -     -3.22
   502 A Mercyhurst             10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.40
   504 N Lake Erie               7- 9      -2    -1          -0.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Wheeling Jesuit        12-18      -6     1    ---   -7.36
   406 H Lake Erie              13-18      -5     0    --    -4.40
   426 A Catawba                10-11      -1     2    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Mercyhurst             10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.40
   502 A Mercyhurst             10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.40
   222 H NYIT                   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.08 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.70 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/