Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = Southeast State = VA Nickname = Spiders Coach = Dan ChemottiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.9551849 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Virginia ACC (10- 6, 96.2) 12-13 216 H Hartford America East ( 6- 9, 90.1) 11-19 222 A Mercer Atlantic Sun ( 7- 7, 86.8) 7-11 301 A UMBC America East ( 8- 7, 91.5) 5-14 304 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 3-12, 87.2) 9-11 308 N Vermont America East ( 5- 8, 88.6) 12-11 315 A Saint Joseph's Northeast (11- 4, 91.9) 4- 7 317 A Rutgers Big East ( 8- 8, 93.3) 7-10 321 H Wagner Northeast ( 2-11, 82.7) 14- 7 329 N Bryant Northeast (16- 5, 93.2) 6- 9 405 A Furman Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 84.9) 13-10 412 H High Point Atlantic Sun ( 9- 7, 89.8) 7-11 420 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun ( 4- 9, 88.5) 13-12 426 A VMI Atlantic Sun ( 2-12, 83.4) 6- 7 2o 501 A Mercer Atlantic Sun ( 7- 7, 86.8) 14- 6 503 N High Point Atlantic Sun ( 9- 7, 89.8) 8- 7 507 A Air Force ECAC (11- 6, 93.4) 5-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Virginia 12-13 -1 -7 +++ 6.31 216 H Hartford 11-19 -8 -1 --- -6.84 222 A Mercer 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.15 301 A UMBC 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.48 304 H Holy Cross 9-11 -2 1 - -3.67 308 N Vermont 12-11 1 0 1.61 315 A Saint Joseph's 4- 7 -3 -4 1.93 317 A Rutgers 7-10 -3 -6 + 3.26 321 H Wagner 14- 7 7 6 0.81 329 N Bryant 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.27 405 A Furman 13-10 3 2 0.86 412 H High Point 7-11 -4 0 - -3.07 420 H Jacksonville 13-12 1 0 0.58 426 A VMI 6- 7 2o -1 3 -- -4.59 501 A Mercer 14- 6 8 0 +++ 7.85 503 N High Point 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.89 507 A Air Force 5-13 -8 -6 -1.56UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Hartford 11-19 -8 -1 --- -6.84 222 A Mercer 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.15 301 A UMBC 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.48 426 A VMI 6- 7 2o -1 3 -- -4.59 304 H Holy Cross 9-11 -2 1 - -3.67 412 H High Point 7-11 -4 0 - -3.07OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Virginia 12-13 -1 -7 +++ 6.31 501 A Mercer 14- 6 8 0 +++ 7.85 317 A Rutgers 7-10 -3 -6 + 3.26 329 N Bryant 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.27 503 N High Point 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.89/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.96 Local Power Rank........... 56 Local SOS Rating......... 75.62 Local SOS Rank............. 63 Local RPI Rating......... 0.41 Local RPI Rank............. 54 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 53 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 61 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3