Conf = MAC Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Luke Beam (int.)        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4865723    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Gettysburg             Centennial    ( 9- 7, 88.5)     1-12   
 226 A Marymount              Capital       ( 9- 8, 81.8)     6- 7   
 301 H Ursinus                Centennial    ( 9- 6, 86.5)     2-15   
 312 A Goucher                Landmark      ( 7- 8, 82.2)     8-13   
 315 N Gordon                 Commonwealth  ( 8- 9, 74.8)    20- 7   
 319 H Susquehanna            Landmark      (11- 8, 80.5)     7- 5   
 326 H Hood                   MAC Commonwlt ( 4-12, 74.9)    12- 2   
 329 H Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 79.8)    10- 4   
 402 A Lycoming               MAC Commonwlt ( 7-10, 78.1)     2- 6   
 405 A Albright               MAC Commonwlt (13- 6, 84.9)     8-13   
 409 H Widener                MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 6, 83.6)     3- 7   
 412 A Elizabethtown          MAC Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 79.4)     9- 6   
 416 A DeSales                MAC Freedom   ( 6-11, 76.4)     7- 4   
 423 A Stevenson              MAC Commonwlt (19- 3, 91.5)     4-18   
 426 H Alvernia               MAC Commonwlt ( 2-15, 66.2)    20- 2   
 429 A Lycoming               MAC Commonwlt ( 7-10, 78.1)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Gettysburg              1-12     -11    -9          -0.87
   226 A Marymount               6- 7      -1    -2           1.46
   301 H Ursinus                 2-15     -13    -4    --    -5.12
   312 A Goucher                 8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.12
   315 N Gordon                 20- 7      13     5    ++     4.33
   319 H Susquehanna             7- 5       2     1           0.85
   326 H Hood                   12- 2      10     6    +      3.31
   329 H Lebanon Valley         10- 4       6     1    ++     4.20
   402 A Lycoming                2- 6      -4     1    --    -5.20
   405 A Albright                8-13      -5    -5           0.55
   409 H Widener                 3- 7      -4    -2          -2.00
   412 A Elizabethtown           9- 6       3     0    +      3.10
   416 A DeSales                 7- 4       3     2           0.04
   423 A Stevenson               4-18     -14   -12           0.00
   426 H Alvernia               20- 2      18    15           0.00
   429 A Lycoming                7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Ursinus                 2-15     -13    -4    --    -5.12
   402 A Lycoming                2- 6      -4     1    --    -5.20
   312 A Goucher                 8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.12
   429 A Lycoming                7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 N Gordon                 20- 7      13     5    ++     4.33
   329 H Lebanon Valley         10- 4       6     1    ++     4.20
   326 H Hood                   12- 2      10     6    +      3.31
   412 A Elizabethtown           9- 6       3     0    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.49 Local Power Rank...........    78
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.65 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............   114
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   127
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   130
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/