Conf = Patriot Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Mountain Hawks Coach = Kevin CasseseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.8325958 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Furman Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 84.9) 13- 6 208 H Marquette Big East ( 6-10, 91.3) 13- 6 216 H Villanova Big East ( 6-10, 93.5) 7- 6 3o 222 A Boston U. Patriot ( 2-12, 87.9) 10- 7 301 H Loyola Patriot (15- 2, 98.2) 7-14 308 A Bucknell Patriot ( 7- 8, 92.1) 9- 3 311 A Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.1) 2-10 315 H Navy Patriot ( 4-10, 91.5) 13- 2 322 A Army Patriot ( 9- 5, 94.1) 5- 6 326 H Monmouth Metro Atlanti ( 0-13, 85.0) 13- 7 329 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 3-12, 87.2) 20- 4 405 H Colgate Patriot ( 9- 7, 91.7) 11- 7 408 A Princeton Ivy ( 7- 6, 94.9) 9-10 2o 412 N Georgetown Big East ( 4-10, 90.2) 12- 3 418 A Lafayette Patriot ( 2-11, 85.6) 17- 6 422 H Navy Patriot ( 4-10, 91.5) 10- 6 425 N Army Patriot ( 9- 5, 94.1) 12-11 427 A Loyola Patriot (15- 2, 98.2) 7-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 A Furman 13- 6 7 9 - -2.02 208 H Marquette 13- 6 7 4 + 2.48 216 H Villanova 7- 6 3o 1 2 -1.29 222 A Boston U. 10- 7 3 5 - -2.96 301 H Loyola 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.61 308 A Bucknell 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.19 311 A Yale 2-10 -8 -1 --- -6.78 315 H Navy 13- 2 11 4 ++ 5.75 322 A Army 5- 6 -1 0 -0.78 326 H Monmouth 13- 7 6 10 -- -4.00 329 H Holy Cross 20- 4 16 8 1.45 405 H Colgate 11- 7 4 4 -0.05 408 A Princeton 9-10 2o -1 0 -0.02 412 N Georgetown 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.40 418 A Lafayette 17- 6 11 8 1.68 422 H Navy 10- 6 4 4 -0.25 425 N Army 12-11 1 0 0.26 427 A Loyola 7-16 -9 -4 -- -4.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Yale 2-10 -8 -1 --- -6.78 301 H Loyola 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.61 326 H Monmouth 13- 7 6 10 -- -4.00 427 A Loyola 7-16 -9 -4 -- -4.69 201 A Furman 13- 6 7 9 - -2.02 222 A Boston U. 10- 7 3 5 - -2.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Bucknell 9- 3 6 1 ++ 4.19 315 H Navy 13- 2 11 4 ++ 5.75 412 N Georgetown 12- 3 9 4 ++ 4.40 208 H Marquette 13- 6 7 4 + 2.48/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.83 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 80.37 Local SOS Rank............. 38 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 40 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3