Conf = Independent Region = Southeast State = MD Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Dave PietramalaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.7005615 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Ohio State ECAC ( 6- 8, 93.9) 10- 9 3o 215 H Towson Colonial ( 8- 7, 91.4) 15- 8 222 H Michigan ECAC ( 5-11, 89.8) 14- 5 301 A Princeton Ivy ( 7- 6, 94.9) 15- 9 308 A UMBC America East ( 8- 7, 91.5) 15- 8 315 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 96.8) 10-12 322 A Virginia ACC (10- 6, 96.2) 10-11 o 329 H North Carolina ACC (10- 5, 98.8) 9-13 404 H Albany America East (12- 6, 97.8) 13- 8 412 H Maryland ACC (13- 4, 98.4) 11- 6 414 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 1-15, 85.3) 17- 2 418 A Navy Patriot ( 4-10, 91.5) 6- 5 423 H Villanova Big East ( 6-10, 93.5) 13- 7 503 A Loyola Patriot (15- 2, 98.2) 10-13 511 A Virginia ACC (10- 6, 96.2) 14- 8 518 N Duke ACC (17- 3, 99.9) 11-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Ohio State 10- 9 3o 1 4 - -3.73 215 H Towson 15- 8 7 7 -0.30 222 H Michigan 14- 5 9 8 0.12 301 A Princeton 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.11 308 A UMBC 15- 8 7 5 1.77 315 H Syracuse 10-12 -2 1 - -3.85 322 A Virginia 10-11 o -1 0 -1.51 329 H North Carolina 9-13 -4 0 - -3.88 404 H Albany 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.18 412 H Maryland 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.76 414 A Mount St. Mary's 17- 2 15 11 0.00 418 A Navy 6- 5 1 5 -- -4.20 423 H Villanova 13- 7 6 5 0.84 503 A Loyola 10-13 -3 -1 -1.56 511 A Virginia 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.49 518 N Duke 11-19 -8 -2 -- -5.80UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Navy 6- 5 1 5 -- -4.20 518 N Duke 11-19 -8 -2 -- -5.80 209 H Ohio State 10- 9 3o 1 4 - -3.73 315 H Syracuse 10-12 -2 1 - -3.85 329 H North Carolina 9-13 -4 0 - -3.88OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Princeton 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.11 404 H Albany 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.18 412 H Maryland 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.76 511 A Virginia 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.49/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.70 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 87.39 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 5.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7