Conf = Southern                   Region = South        State = KY
   Nickname = Colonels               Coach  = Bert Severns            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.5040588    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 H Carthage               Midwest       (15- 6, 82.1)    10-12   
 301 A Hanover                Midwest       ( 9- 7, 74.2)    11- 3   
 305 H Ferrum                 Independent   ( 7-10, 77.5)    14- 4   
 312 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (12- 5, 87.0)     8- 9  o
 315 H Sewanee                Southern      (12- 5, 82.6)     7-18   
 322 A Berry                  Southern      (11- 4, 80.3)    12-10   
 325 A Piedmont               Independent   ( 6- 8, 71.4)    15- 6   
 328 A Millsaps               Southern      ( 6-11, 69.4)    23- 8   
 330 A Birmingham-Southern    Southern      ( 9- 8, 74.0)    13- 7   
 402 A Transylvania           Independent   ( 7- 7, 74.0)    11- 9   
 405 A Oglethorpe             Southern      ( 2-13, 61.8)    26- 6   
 411 H Hendrix                Southern      ( 7-10, 72.3)    15- 7   
 413 H Rhodes                 Southern      ( 7-10, 71.4)    19- 4   
 419 H Rhodes                 Southern      ( 7-10, 71.4)    12- 4   
 425 H Berry                  Southern      (11- 4, 80.3)    10- 7   
 427 A Sewanee                Southern      (12- 5, 82.6)    11-10   
 507 A Denison                North Coast   (19- 1, 92.0)     4-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Carthage               10-12      -2     0    -     -2.51
   301 A Hanover                11- 3       8     6           1.80
   305 H Ferrum                 14- 4      10     5    ++     4.82
   312 A Roanoke                 8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.62
   315 H Sewanee                 7-18     -11     0    ---  -10.03
   322 A Berry                  12-10       2     0           1.90
   325 A Piedmont               15- 6       9     8           0.06
   328 A Millsaps               23- 8      15    10           0.00
   330 A Birmingham-Southern    13- 7       6     6          -0.38
   402 A Transylvania           11- 9       2     6    --    -4.39
   405 A Oglethorpe             26- 6      20    18           0.00
   411 H Hendrix                15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   413 H Rhodes                 19- 4      15    11           0.00
   419 H Rhodes                 12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   425 H Berry                  10- 7       3     2           0.62
   427 A Sewanee                11-10       1    -2    +      3.25
   507 A Denison                 4-19     -15   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Sewanee                 7-18     -11     0    ---  -10.03
   402 A Transylvania           11- 9       2     6    --    -4.39
   223 H Carthage               10-12      -2     0    -     -2.51
   411 H Hendrix                15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   419 H Rhodes                 12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Ferrum                 14- 4      10     5    ++     4.82
   312 A Roanoke                 8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.62
   427 A Sewanee                11-10       1    -2    +      3.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.50 Local Power Rank...........    70
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.39 Local SOS Rank.............   114
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/