Conf = Ivy                        Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Matt Kerwick            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5194016    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 H Hobart                 Northeast     ( 5-10, 89.3)    12- 8   
 225 A Binghamton             America East  ( 7- 8, 90.8)    14- 8   
 301 A Michigan               ECAC          ( 5-11, 89.8)    15-14  o
 304 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 90.1)    19- 6   
 308 H Virginia               ACC           (10- 6, 96.2)    12- 9   
 315 H Yale                   Ivy           ( 9- 5, 95.1)    11- 9   
 318 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 9- 7, 91.7)    15-10   
 322 A Penn                   Ivy           (11- 4, 95.8)    17- 9   
 329 A Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 2-10, 88.2)    19- 4   
 405 H Harvard                Ivy           (10- 7, 94.9)     9-14   
 408 H Syracuse               ACC           (11- 5, 96.8)     9-14   
 412 A Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 5, 93.7)     9-10  o
 419 H Brown                  Ivy           ( 8- 6, 91.9)    14- 9   
 426 N Princeton              Ivy           ( 7- 6, 94.9)    12-10   
 502 N Penn                   Ivy           (11- 4, 95.8)    10-11   
 510 A Maryland               ACC           (13- 4, 98.4)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Hobart                 12- 8       4     8    --    -4.20
   225 A Binghamton             14- 8       6     4           1.23
   301 A Michigan               15-14  o    1     5    --    -4.78
   304 H Canisius               19- 6      13     7    +      2.64
   308 H Virginia               12- 9       3     1           1.75
   315 H Yale                   11- 9       2     2          -0.39
   318 A Colgate                15-10       5     3           1.19
   322 A Penn                   17- 9       8     0    +++    8.19
   329 A Dartmouth              19- 4      15     7    +      2.65
   405 H Harvard                 9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.57
   408 H Syracuse                9-14      -5     0    --    -5.67
   412 A Hofstra                 9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.87
   419 H Brown                  14- 9       5     5          -0.58
   426 N Princeton              12-10       2     1           0.34
   502 N Penn                   10-11      -1     0          -1.77
   510 A Maryland                7- 8      -1    -2           1.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Harvard                 9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.57
   222 H Hobart                 12- 8       4     8    --    -4.20
   301 A Michigan               15-14  o    1     5    --    -4.78
   408 H Syracuse                9-14      -5     0    --    -5.67
   412 A Hofstra                 9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Penn                   17- 9       8     0    +++    8.19
   304 H Canisius               19- 6      13     7    +      2.64
   329 A Dartmouth              19- 4      15     7    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.52 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.32 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/