Conf = Ivy Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Big Red Coach = Matt KerwickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5194016 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Hobart Northeast ( 5-10, 89.3) 12- 8 225 A Binghamton America East ( 7- 8, 90.8) 14- 8 301 A Michigan ECAC ( 5-11, 89.8) 15-14 o 304 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 90.1) 19- 6 308 H Virginia ACC (10- 6, 96.2) 12- 9 315 H Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.1) 11- 9 318 A Colgate Patriot ( 9- 7, 91.7) 15-10 322 A Penn Ivy (11- 4, 95.8) 17- 9 329 A Dartmouth Ivy ( 2-10, 88.2) 19- 4 405 H Harvard Ivy (10- 7, 94.9) 9-14 408 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 96.8) 9-14 412 A Hofstra Colonial (11- 5, 93.7) 9-10 o 419 H Brown Ivy ( 8- 6, 91.9) 14- 9 426 N Princeton Ivy ( 7- 6, 94.9) 12-10 502 N Penn Ivy (11- 4, 95.8) 10-11 510 A Maryland ACC (13- 4, 98.4) 7- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Hobart 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.20 225 A Binghamton 14- 8 6 4 1.23 301 A Michigan 15-14 o 1 5 -- -4.78 304 H Canisius 19- 6 13 7 + 2.64 308 H Virginia 12- 9 3 1 1.75 315 H Yale 11- 9 2 2 -0.39 318 A Colgate 15-10 5 3 1.19 322 A Penn 17- 9 8 0 +++ 8.19 329 A Dartmouth 19- 4 15 7 + 2.65 405 H Harvard 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.57 408 H Syracuse 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.67 412 A Hofstra 9-10 o -1 1 - -2.87 419 H Brown 14- 9 5 5 -0.58 426 N Princeton 12-10 2 1 0.34 502 N Penn 10-11 -1 0 -1.77 510 A Maryland 7- 8 -1 -2 1.86UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Harvard 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.57 222 H Hobart 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.20 301 A Michigan 15-14 o 1 5 -- -4.78 408 H Syracuse 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.67 412 A Hofstra 9-10 o -1 1 - -2.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Penn 17- 9 8 0 +++ 8.19 304 H Canisius 19- 6 13 7 + 2.64 329 A Dartmouth 19- 4 15 7 + 2.65/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.52 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 84.32 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0