Conf = America East               Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Bearcats               Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7897034    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 6- 9, 87.8)     8- 6   
 222 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti (11- 6, 91.7)     9-13   
 225 H Cornell                Ivy           (11- 5, 96.5)     8-14   
 301 A Hobart                 Northeast     ( 5-10, 89.3)    11-10  o
 308 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 7- 9, 91.6)     9-10   
 315 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 9- 7, 91.7)     9-10   
 323 H Air Force              ECAC          (11- 6, 93.4)     8-10   
 329 A Hartford               America East  ( 6- 9, 90.1)    11-10   
 402 A Syracuse               ACC           (11- 5, 96.8)     8-10   
 406 H UMBC                   America East  ( 8- 7, 91.5)    13- 7   
 412 A Vermont                America East  ( 5- 8, 88.6)     9- 6   
 415 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 90.1)     9- 5   
 419 H Stony Brook            America East  ( 6-10, 91.3)    14-11   
 426 A Albany                 America East  (12- 6, 97.8)     7-21   
 501 N UMBC                   America East  ( 8- 7, 91.5)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Sacred Heart            8- 6       2     2          -0.06
   222 H Siena                   9-13      -4     0    --    -4.07
   225 H Cornell                 8-14      -6    -4          -1.23
   301 A Hobart                 11-10  o    1     0           0.45
   308 H Delaware                9-10      -1     0          -1.17
   315 H Colgate                 9-10      -1     0          -1.00
   323 H Air Force               8-10      -2    -1          -0.32
   329 A Hartford               11-10       1     0           1.25
   402 A Syracuse                8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.98
   406 H UMBC                   13- 7       6     0    ++     5.77
   412 A Vermont                 9- 6       3     1           1.74
   415 H Canisius                9- 5       4     1    +      2.37
   419 H Stony Brook            14-11       3     0    +      2.57
   426 A Albany                  7-21     -14    -8          -1.99
   501 N UMBC                   10-16      -6     0    --    -5.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Siena                   9-13      -4     0    --    -4.07
   501 N UMBC                   10-16      -6     0    --    -5.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Syracuse                8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.98
   406 H UMBC                   13- 7       6     0    ++     5.77
   415 H Canisius                9- 5       4     1    +      2.37
   419 H Stony Brook            14-11       3     0    +      2.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.79 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.30 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/