Conf = NESCAC                     Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Lord Jeffs             Coach  = Jon Thompson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4866943    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Bates                  NESCAC        ( 4- 9, 84.0)    17- 8   
 308 A Bowdoin                NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 85.7)    15-17   
 311 A Eastern Connecticut    Little East   (11- 6, 81.6)    17- 1   
 314 A Endicott               Commonwealth  (15- 5, 89.7)    11-10   
 318 N Western New England    Commonwealth  (10- 8, 85.3)    16-15   
 321 N Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 5- 9, 84.0)     9- 8   
 322 N MIT                    NEWMAC        ( 9- 8, 74.9)    21- 5   
 329 A Middlebury             NESCAC        ( 8- 8, 86.2)     7- 8   
 402 A Wesleyan               NESCAC        (12- 5, 87.6)    14-10   
 405 H Colby                  NESCAC        ( 7- 8, 83.7)    14- 7   
 408 A Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 84.9)    17- 6   
 412 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (21- 2, 94.9)    12-25   
 415 A Springfield            NEWMAC        (15- 4, 87.2)    13-12   
 418 H Williams               NESCAC        (10- 7, 86.8)    14- 9   
 423 H Trinity                NESCAC        ( 4-11, 80.2)    18- 8   
 426 H Bowdoin                NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 85.7)    13- 6   
 503 N Wesleyan               NESCAC        (12- 5, 87.6)    12- 8   
 504 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (21- 2, 94.9)    13-20   
 507 H Colorado College       SCAC          (10- 6, 83.4)    13-10   
 510 A Union                  Liberty       (15- 4, 89.7)    11-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Bates                  17- 8       9     6    +      2.37
   308 A Bowdoin                15-17      -2     2    --    -4.68
   311 A Eastern Connecticut    17- 1      16     6    +      3.27
   314 A Endicott               11-10       1    -1    +      2.40
   318 N Western New England    16-15       1     4    -     -3.23
   321 N Hamilton                9- 8       1     5    --    -4.50
   322 N MIT                    21- 5      16    14           0.00
   329 A Middlebury              7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.18
   402 A Wesleyan               14-10       4     0    +      3.30
   405 H Colby                  14- 7       7     6           0.04
   408 A Connecticut College    17- 6      11     3    +++    6.60
   412 A Tufts                  12-25     -13    -6    -     -3.45
   415 A Springfield            13-12       1     1          -0.11
   418 H Williams               14- 9       5     3           1.19
   423 H Trinity                18- 8      10    10           0.00
   426 H Bowdoin                13- 6       7     4    +      2.04
   503 N Wesleyan               12- 8       4     1    +      2.16
   504 A Tufts                  13-20      -7    -6          -0.45
   507 H Colorado College       13-10       3     7    --    -4.19
   510 A Union                  11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Bowdoin                15-17      -2     2    --    -4.68
   321 N Hamilton                9- 8       1     5    --    -4.50
   507 H Colorado College       13-10       3     7    --    -4.19
   510 A Union                  11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.66
   318 N Western New England    16-15       1     4    -     -3.23
   329 A Middlebury              7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.18
   412 A Tufts                  12-25     -13    -6    -     -3.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Connecticut College    17- 6      11     3    +++    6.60
   301 H Bates                  17- 8       9     6    +      2.37
   311 A Eastern Connecticut    17- 1      16     6    +      3.27
   314 A Endicott               11-10       1    -1    +      2.40
   402 A Wesleyan               14-10       4     0    +      3.30
   426 H Bowdoin                13- 6       7     4    +      2.04
   503 N Wesleyan               12- 8       4     1    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.49 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.74 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/