Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = MA Nickname = Lord Jeffs Coach = Jon ThompsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.4866943 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Bates NESCAC ( 4- 9, 84.0) 17- 8 308 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 9- 7, 85.7) 15-17 311 A Eastern Connecticut Little East (11- 6, 81.6) 17- 1 314 A Endicott Commonwealth (15- 5, 89.7) 11-10 318 N Western New England Commonwealth (10- 8, 85.3) 16-15 321 N Hamilton NESCAC ( 5- 9, 84.0) 9- 8 322 N MIT NEWMAC ( 9- 8, 74.9) 21- 5 329 A Middlebury NESCAC ( 8- 8, 86.2) 7- 8 402 A Wesleyan NESCAC (12- 5, 87.6) 14-10 405 H Colby NESCAC ( 7- 8, 83.7) 14- 7 408 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 9- 7, 84.9) 17- 6 412 A Tufts NESCAC (21- 2, 94.9) 12-25 415 A Springfield NEWMAC (15- 4, 87.2) 13-12 418 H Williams NESCAC (10- 7, 86.8) 14- 9 423 H Trinity NESCAC ( 4-11, 80.2) 18- 8 426 H Bowdoin NESCAC ( 9- 7, 85.7) 13- 6 503 N Wesleyan NESCAC (12- 5, 87.6) 12- 8 504 A Tufts NESCAC (21- 2, 94.9) 13-20 507 H Colorado College SCAC (10- 6, 83.4) 13-10 510 A Union Liberty (15- 4, 89.7) 11-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Bates 17- 8 9 6 + 2.37 308 A Bowdoin 15-17 -2 2 -- -4.68 311 A Eastern Connecticut 17- 1 16 6 + 3.27 314 A Endicott 11-10 1 -1 + 2.40 318 N Western New England 16-15 1 4 - -3.23 321 N Hamilton 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.50 322 N MIT 21- 5 16 14 0.00 329 A Middlebury 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.18 402 A Wesleyan 14-10 4 0 + 3.30 405 H Colby 14- 7 7 6 0.04 408 A Connecticut College 17- 6 11 3 +++ 6.60 412 A Tufts 12-25 -13 -6 - -3.45 415 A Springfield 13-12 1 1 -0.11 418 H Williams 14- 9 5 3 1.19 423 H Trinity 18- 8 10 10 0.00 426 H Bowdoin 13- 6 7 4 + 2.04 503 N Wesleyan 12- 8 4 1 + 2.16 504 A Tufts 13-20 -7 -6 -0.45 507 H Colorado College 13-10 3 7 -- -4.19 510 A Union 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.66UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Bowdoin 15-17 -2 2 -- -4.68 321 N Hamilton 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.50 507 H Colorado College 13-10 3 7 -- -4.19 510 A Union 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.66 318 N Western New England 16-15 1 4 - -3.23 329 A Middlebury 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.18 412 A Tufts 12-25 -13 -6 - -3.45OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Connecticut College 17- 6 11 3 +++ 6.60 301 H Bates 17- 8 9 6 + 2.37 311 A Eastern Connecticut 17- 1 16 6 + 3.27 314 A Endicott 11-10 1 -1 + 2.40 402 A Wesleyan 14-10 4 0 + 3.30 426 H Bowdoin 13- 6 7 4 + 2.04 503 N Wesleyan 12- 8 4 1 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.49 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 68.74 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 18 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3