Conf = ECAC Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Eric SeremetGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.4306183 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Denver Big East (16- 3, 98.8) 8-14 215 H Furman Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 84.9) 15- 6 222 N Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 90.1) 6- 7 223 N Marist Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 90.1) 17- 9 302 A VMI Atlantic Sun ( 2-12, 83.4) 4- 6 308 H Bellarmine ECAC ( 7- 5, 91.4) 13- 9 315 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun ( 4- 9, 88.5) 15-12 323 A Binghamton America East ( 7- 8, 90.8) 10- 8 329 H Michigan ECAC ( 5-11, 89.8) 15-12 405 H Mercer Atlantic Sun ( 7- 7, 86.8) 19- 6 412 H Fairfield ECAC (12- 4, 94.3) 16- 8 419 A Ohio State ECAC ( 6- 8, 93.9) 6- 8 426 A Quinnipiac Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 90.4) 10-15 501 A Ohio State ECAC ( 6- 8, 93.9) 14- 7 503 N Fairfield ECAC (12- 4, 94.3) 9- 8 507 H Richmond Atlantic Sun ( 6-11, 88.0) 13- 5 511 A Duke ACC (17- 3, 99.9) 9-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Denver 8-14 -6 -4 -1.63 215 H Furman 15- 6 9 9 -0.54 222 N Canisius 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.31 223 N Marist 17- 9 8 3 ++ 4.69 302 A VMI 4- 6 -2 9 --- -11.06 308 H Bellarmine 13- 9 4 3 1.00 315 A Jacksonville 15-12 3 3 -0.98 323 A Binghamton 10- 8 2 1 0.32 329 H Michigan 15-12 3 4 -1.61 405 H Mercer 19- 6 13 7 + 2.45 412 H Fairfield 16- 8 8 0 +++ 7.92 419 A Ohio State 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.54 426 A Quinnipiac 10-15 -5 2 --- -7.04 501 A Ohio State 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 8.46 503 N Fairfield 9- 8 1 0 1.88 507 H Richmond 13- 5 8 6 1.56 511 A Duke 9-20 -11 -7 - -2.57UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A VMI 4- 6 -2 9 --- -11.06 426 A Quinnipiac 10-15 -5 2 --- -7.04 222 N Canisius 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.31 511 A Duke 9-20 -11 -7 - -2.57OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Fairfield 16- 8 8 0 +++ 7.92 501 A Ohio State 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 8.46 223 N Marist 17- 9 8 3 ++ 4.69 405 H Mercer 19- 6 13 7 + 2.45/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.43 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 79.62 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 23 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 18 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 24 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7