2013 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Stevenson MAC Commonwlth 22 2 1 19 1 3 2 1 6 32.00 2 Cortland SUNYAC 19 1 5 7 2 1 5 3 9 5.00 3 RIT Liberty 19 3 2 5 4 4 1 4 9 15.00 4 Dickinson Centennial 18 1 4 3 3 2 10 2 14 17.00 5 Salisbury Capital 17 6 3 4 6 5 6 6 17 12.00 6 Roanoke Old Dominion 16 4 10 35 5 7 8 5 20 0.10 7 Tufts NESCAC 16 5 7 8 13 6 7 11 24 3.00 8 Lynchburg Old Dominion 14 6 8 23 8 14 4 10 28 3.00 9 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 16 5 9 34 9 8 14 7 29 2.00 10 Washington Colle Centennial 13 5 12 6 11 9 11 12 32 1.00 11 Western New Engl Commonwealth 13 7 25 40 29 15 3 22 40 2.00 12 Cabrini CSAC 15 4 6 41 7 18 17 9 44 2.00 13 Nazareth Empire 8 15 5 17 31 16 11 16 17 44 1.00 14 Stevens Empire 8 13 5 11 28 19 12 13 23 48 2.00 15 St. Mary's Capital 12 7 23 18 28 17 9 28 54 0.10 16 Aurora Midwest 16 4 41 127 23 21 24 13 58 0.10 17 Adrian MIAA 14 4 69 90 31 10 21 30 61 0.10 18 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 12 4 26 16 20 13 27 24 64 0.10 19 Ithaca Empire 8 12 6 15 33 26 29 15 25 69 0.10 20 Denison North Coast 13 3 21 72 15 16 44 14 74 0.10 21 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 11 6 22 10 21 24 18 34 76 0.10 22 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 13 6 30 66 48 20 20 43 83 0.10 23 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 14 4 19 50 22 22 43 18 83 1.00 24 Widener MAC Commonwlth 11 6 18 43 30 38 12 36 86 0.10 25 Clarkson Liberty 10 6 28 15 39 27 19 41 87 0.10 26 St. Lawrence Liberty 10 5 24 24 42 25 29 40 94 0.10 27 Middlebury NESCAC 13 3 14 26 18 19 59 20 98 0.10 28 Albright MAC Commonwlth 14 4 46 69 14 34 45 21 100 0.10 29 Endicott Commonwealth 13 6 51 55 43 31 32 37 100 0.10 30 Wesleyan NESCAC 13 5 20 37 32 32 38 32 102 0.10 31 Montclair State Skyline 14 5 27 75 33 39 37 27 103 0.10 32 Ursinus Centennial 9 5 35 14 41 26 33 45 104 0.10 33 Gettysburg Centennial 9 7 13 1 44 30 25 52 107 2.00 34 Union Liberty 8 7 29 20 52 42 22 59 123 0.10 35 York Capital 13 4 16 36 35 23 72 29 124 0.10 36 Mary Washington Capital 9 7 32 30 54 35 34 58 127 0.10 37 Sewanee Southern 14 4 77 124 34 37 58 35 130 0.10 38 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 11 6 42 51 40 40 50 42 132 0.10 39 Bowdoin NESCAC 8 7 33 12 75 36 23 78 137 0.10 40 Kean Skyline 15 3 64 108 24 33 92 19 144 0.10 41 Keene State Little East 14 3 44 73 27 28 90 26 144 0.10 42 Carthage Midwest 15 4 76 163 37 58 60 31 149 0.10 43 Haverford Centennial 7 7 31 2 60 48 30 73 151 0.10 44 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 9 7 55 54 53 47 42 62 151 0.10 45 Bates NESCAC 7 7 38 21 72 51 35 72 158 0.10 46 Frostburg State Capital 13 7 53 64 64 45 48 67 160 0.10 47 St. John Fisher Empire 8 10 6 45 49 49 44 64 53 161 0.10 48 Albion MIAA 11 6 89 136 70 53 62 54 169 0.10 49 Berry Southern 13 5 93 141 51 41 78 51 170 0.10 50 Centre Southern 11 4 95 142 38 46 85 39 170 0.10 51 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 10 9 78 46 79 52 26 92 170 0.10 52 Lebanon Valley MAC Commonwlth 12 7 61 80 56 69 41 61 171 0.10 53 Colorado College SCAC 13 5 34 98 17 50 114 16 180 0.10 54 Wooster North Coast 9 6 70 96 69 64 56 64 184 0.10 55 Hamilton NESCAC 9 6 36 27 57 56 74 55 185 0.10 56 Kenyon North Coast 8 8 71 82 111 61 28 100 189 0.10 57 Roger Williams Commonwealth 9 7 83 79 96 59 55 76 190 0.10 58 Otterbein Independent 12 6 79 117 68 63 79 50 192 0.10 59 Wittenberg North Coast 8 5 85 109 67 60 70 63 193 0.10 60 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 14 5 103 93 50 57 94 44 195 0.10 61 UMass Dartmouth Little East 10 5 100 105 59 55 84 56 195 0.10 62 Eastern MAC Freedom 15 2 37 100 12 54 130 15 199 0.10 63 Plymouth State Little East 9 5 80 114 61 49 87 65 201 0.10 64 Keuka NEAC 12 1 72 160 10 43 155 8 206 0.10 65 Potsdam SUNYAC 6 8 58 38 95 66 40 101 207 0.10 66 Eastern Connecti Little East 10 8 56 70 100 62 53 99 214 0.10 67 Muhlenberg Centennial 6 9 39 13 106 65 36 113 214 0.10 68 Norwich Great Northeas 12 5 126 153 45 67 102 47 216 0.10 69 Springfield Pilgrim 10 8 48 57 81 68 68 81 217 0.10 70 Geneseo SUNYAC 5 8 50 29 92 71 52 96 219 0.10 71 Oswego SUNYAC 8 7 57 58 76 70 76 75 221 0.10 72 Centenary CSAC 13 4 87 111 25 75 112 38 225 0.10 73 Oberlin North Coast 8 6 94 121 78 85 75 69 229 0.10 74 Brockport SUNYAC 6 9 65 42 108 80 47 104 231 0.10 75 Christopher Newp Independent 8 9 54 47 99 73 49 109 231 0.10 76 Castleton North Atlantic 15 4 111 161 36 72 129 33 234 0.10 77 Amherst NESCAC 5 10 43 11 134 74 39 132 245 0.10 78 Mount St. Joseph Midwest 10 8 151 144 116 87 54 106 247 0.10 79 Augustana Midwest 11 6 121 171 71 95 82 71 248 0.10 80 Utica Empire 8 9 7 68 77 77 91 80 77 248 0.10 81 Concordia-Wiscon Midwest 9 7 107 147 97 97 66 88 251 0.10 82 Rensselaer Liberty 6 8 52 45 114 84 51 116 251 0.10 83 Guilford Old Dominion 8 8 75 71 83 83 81 90 254 0.10 84 Goucher Landmark 8 8 67 48 88 77 91 89 257 0.10 85 Scranton Landmark 8 7 66 63 80 79 99 85 263 0.10 86 Marymount Capital 7 7 86 60 85 78 104 84 266 0.10 87 Elizabethtown MAC Commonwlth 8 6 82 78 63 88 110 70 268 0.10 88 McDaniel Centennial 5 11 47 9 129 82 46 142 270 0.10 89 Messiah MAC Commonwlth 6 9 92 56 121 93 57 129 279 0.10 90 Colby NESCAC 6 9 49 44 123 89 71 121 281 0.10 91 Susquehanna Landmark 12 7 84 74 74 81 128 74 283 0.10 92 Babson Pilgrim 10 8 60 68 98 86 103 95 284 0.10 93 Hope MIAA 8 5 138 176 65 92 144 48 284 0.10 94 Alfred Empire 8 7 7 73 89 82 99 100 86 285 0.10 95 Western Connecti Little East 9 9 116 94 133 90 69 137 296 0.10 96 Williams NESCAC 5 8 40 22 115 96 86 114 296 0.10 97 Misericordia MAC Freedom 10 7 106 110 89 105 95 97 297 0.10 98 Swarthmore Centennial 4 11 62 17 148 106 31 161 298 0.10 99 Wesley Capital 6 9 120 83 122 115 67 118 300 0.10 100 Hilbert NEAC 10 5 139 168 58 102 146 60 308 0.10 101 Trine MIAA 8 8 127 140 103 76 138 94 308 0.10 102 Trinity NESCAC 5 10 59 25 149 101 65 143 309 0.10 103 Wentworth Commonwealth 11 7 102 134 91 94 134 82 310 0.10 104 Birmingham-South Southern 7 10 113 112 157 100 61 153 314 0.10 105 King's MAC Freedom 10 4 105 118 46 103 165 46 314 0.10 106 Lycoming MAC Commonwlth 4 11 90 52 151 107 63 159 329 0.10 107 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 8 6 98 103 73 111 141 79 331 0.10 108 Wheaton Pilgrim 7 8 91 99 126 98 118 124 340 0.10 109 Hartwick Empire 8 6 8 99 76 110 113 113 115 341 0.10 110 Greensboro Independent 6 10 74 65 150 110 89 149 348 0.10 111 New England Coll North Atlantic 10 7 117 156 86 116 142 91 349 0.10 112 Merchant Marine Landmark 9 8 96 95 112 118 124 111 353 0.10 113 Mount Ida Great Northeas 11 8 142 167 113 104 139 112 355 0.10 114 Salem State Little East 8 7 125 128 102 109 143 103 355 0.10 115 Benedictine Midwest 7 9 161 165 142 126 88 144 358 0.10 116 Salve Regina Commonwealth 7 10 134 115 161 108 98 152 358 0.10 117 DeSales MAC Freedom 8 9 112 113 140 127 93 140 360 0.10 118 Medaille NEAC 8 5 141 170 66 124 172 68 364 0.10 119 Whittier Independent 6 10 81 59 127 114 127 125 366 0.10 120 Stockton Skyline 7 9 108 106 145 128 96 146 370 0.10 121 Curry Commonwealth 7 9 136 131 143 117 120 135 372 0.10 122 Skidmore Liberty 4 11 63 32 172 123 77 172 372 0.10 123 Lasell Great Northeas 8 8 143 152 118 119 136 120 375 0.10 124 Catholic Landmark 6 9 97 81 138 121 123 133 377 0.10 125 Mitchell Independent 9 4 156 192 47 133 195 49 377 0.10 126 Marywood CSAC 5 11 101 67 152 137 73 171 381 0.10 127 Fontbonne Midwest 8 8 150 166 101 122 164 102 388 0.10 128 Olivet MIAA 10 7 154 201 93 150 160 80 390 0.10 129 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 7 8 109 84 120 112 154 126 392 0.10 130 Ferrum Independent 8 9 110 104 128 125 140 127 392 0.10 131 Shenandoah Old Dominion 5 11 123 85 156 135 106 155 396 0.10 132 Transylvania Independent 9 5 178 198 62 141 189 66 396 0.10 133 Bridgewater Old Dominion 5 10 148 116 135 149 111 138 398 0.10 134 Morrisville Stat NEAC 4 9 132 123 153 131 116 151 398 0.10 135 Southern Maine Little East 5 11 122 119 186 120 101 184 405 0.10 136 Clark Pilgrim 7 7 128 130 104 132 170 105 407 0.10 137 Huntingdon Independent 7 8 152 162 84 129 199 83 411 0.10 138 MIT Pilgrim 5 10 118 107 132 130 151 131 412 0.10 139 Randolph Old Dominion 5 11 135 97 155 154 105 154 413 0.10 140 Baldwin-Wallace Independent 6 5 182 208 55 158 204 57 419 0.10 141 Mount Union Independent 7 7 133 179 105 145 174 107 426 0.10 142 Emmanuel Great Northeas 7 10 153 173 159 136 135 157 428 0.10 143 Rhodes Southern 5 10 176 155 171 139 121 169 429 0.10 144 Elmira Empire 8 1 12 119 53 191 157 83 194 434 0.10 145 Drew Landmark 4 10 104 62 164 138 131 166 435 0.10 146 Oneonta SUNYAC 3 11 88 39 170 143 119 176 438 0.10 147 Vassar Liberty 3 11 130 61 178 153 108 177 438 0.10 148 Saint Vincent Presidents 6 9 115 122 147 142 153 148 443 0.10 149 Nichols Commonwealth 4 11 149 133 187 148 115 181 444 0.10 150 Millsaps Southern 5 9 168 174 131 152 168 130 450 0.10 151 Thiel Presidents 7 7 165 185 107 161 182 108 451 0.10 152 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 7 8 158 151 124 155 175 122 452 0.10 153 Piedmont Independent 6 9 173 149 154 146 157 150 453 0.10 154 Immaculata CSAC 3 11 137 86 177 159 109 186 454 0.10 155 SUNY Canton Independent 6 6 170 199 90 169 193 93 455 0.10 156 Washington & Jef Presidents 6 10 114 101 166 134 159 164 457 0.10 157 Gordon Commonwealth 3 12 140 88 196 147 117 195 459 0.10 158 St. Joseph's (ME Great Northeas 7 10 162 157 162 144 156 160 460 0.10 159 Cazenovia NEAC 4 8 167 158 136 162 169 134 465 0.10 160 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 5 10 146 135 169 151 147 168 466 0.10 161 Beloit Independent 6 6 171 205 87 177 203 87 467 0.10 162 Southwestern SCAC 7 9 124 137 144 166 163 145 474 0.10 163 Hood MAC Commonwlth 3 14 144 92 203 175 97 203 475 0.10 164 Hendrix Southern 5 10 160 159 168 163 149 167 479 0.10 165 Alvernia MAC Commonwlth 5 12 159 120 184 171 125 185 481 0.10 166 Husson North Atlantic 8 9 166 194 141 164 176 141 481 0.10 167 Hanover Midwest 5 11 177 181 185 167 132 183 482 0.10 168 Neumann CSAC 2 11 129 87 182 172 126 189 487 0.10 169 Rivier Great Northeas 7 8 180 202 125 176 190 123 489 0.10 170 Arcadia MAC Freedom 5 10 145 139 167 178 150 165 493 0.10 171 Dallas SCAC 1 6 186 148 109 192 192 110 494 0.10 172 DePauw North Coast 0 14 198 138 206 185 107 205 497 0.10 173 Alma MIAA 3 12 183 177 197 174 133 191 498 0.10 174 UMass Boston Little East 6 12 147 125 183 140 180 182 502 0.10 175 Anna Maria Great Northeas 6 10 175 180 163 165 177 162 504 0.10 176 Elmhurst Midwest 3 10 188 178 176 181 148 175 504 0.10 177 Calvin MIAA 2 13 192 154 198 168 145 193 506 0.10 178 Cobleskill NEAC 3 8 179 189 139 184 185 139 508 0.10 179 Penn State Abing NEAC 0 5 205 187 94 208 208 98 514 0.10 180 Becker Great Northeas 6 11 172 184 179 170 167 178 515 0.10 181 La Roche Independent 2 11 157 126 189 173 152 190 515 0.10 182 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 6 10 164 175 165 182 171 163 516 0.10 183 Maine Farmington North Atlantic 4 7 194 207 119 194 205 119 518 0.10 184 Fairleigh Dickin MAC Freedom 4 12 131 91 195 160 161 198 519 0.10 185 Houghton Empire 8 4 8 196 183 137 189 196 136 521 0.10 186 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 6 9 169 196 146 183 191 147 521 0.10 187 SUNYIT NEAC 5 11 174 146 173 156 197 170 523 0.10 188 Defiance Midwest 0 17 201 182 208 198 122 208 528 0.10 189 Emerson Great Northeas 2 9 185 186 158 188 184 156 528 0.10 190 Centenary (LA) Independent 0 7 203 145 130 203 198 128 529 0.10 191 Southern Virgini Independent 0 8 207 188 117 207 207 117 531 0.10 192 Maritime Skyline 4 12 163 129 193 179 162 197 538 0.10 193 Manhattanville MAC Freedom 0 16 155 102 207 195 137 207 539 0.10 194 Hiram North Coast 1 11 193 143 192 187 166 188 541 0.10 195 Wilmington Independent 4 11 195 195 175 186 186 174 546 0.10 196 MSoE Midwest 1 12 204 169 200 191 158 200 549 0.10 197 Thomas North Atlantic 4 10 190 200 174 193 188 173 554 0.10 198 Oglethorpe Southern 2 14 187 150 204 180 173 204 557 0.10 199 Johnson State North Atlantic 3 9 200 204 160 199 201 158 558 0.10 200 Regis Pilgrim 4 11 181 172 188 190 183 187 560 0.10 201 Bethany Presidents 4 12 199 190 194 196 179 196 571 0.10 202 Wells NEAC 1 12 197 191 201 197 178 201 576 0.10 203 Daniel Webster Great Northeas 1 11 191 193 190 200 187 192 579 0.10 204 Bryn Athyn Independent 1 10 189 164 180 204 202 179 585 0.10 205 Franciscan Independent 1 12 202 197 181 202 206 180 588 0.10 206 Rosemont CSAC 1 14 184 132 205 201 181 206 588 0.10 207 Lyndon State North Atlantic 1 12 206 206 199 205 194 199 598 0.10 208 Green Mountain North Atlantic 0 12 208 203 202 206 200 202 608 0.10