2013 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Duke ACC 16 5 4 12 1 2 1 1 4 12.00 2 Syracuse Big East 16 4 9 7 2 1 5 2 8 1.00 3 Denver ECAC 14 5 10 13 5 3 2 4 9 4.00 4 Cornell Ivy 14 4 1 11 4 5 7 3 15 33.00 5 Notre Dame Big East 11 5 15 10 8 7 3 7 17 2.00 6 North Carolina ACC 13 4 3 3 3 4 9 5 18 5.00 7 Ohio State ECAC 13 4 14 17 7 6 11 6 23 1.00 8 Yale Ivy 12 5 7 4 9 8 6 9 23 4.00 9 Loyola ECAC 11 5 6 14 10 10 12 10 32 3.00 10 Maryland ACC 10 4 2 5 6 9 19 8 36 12.00 11 Penn State Colonial 12 5 13 20 17 11 13 12 36 0.10 12 Princeton Ivy 9 6 8 1 11 15 8 13 36 4.00 13 Penn Ivy 8 5 11 2 12 13 17 11 41 1.00 14 Bucknell Patriot 12 4 17 23 15 12 16 15 43 0.10 15 Virginia ACC 7 8 16 6 18 19 4 20 43 3.00 16 Lehigh Patriot 12 5 18 29 16 16 15 17 48 1.00 17 Albany America East 13 5 12 28 14 14 21 14 49 2.00 18 Johns Hopkins Independent 9 5 5 15 13 17 20 16 53 8.00 19 Villanova Big East 7 8 20 8 27 21 10 25 56 1.00 20 Towson Colonial 10 8 30 26 26 23 14 28 65 0.10 21 Drexel Colonial 11 4 24 30 19 18 30 19 67 0.10 22 Fairfield ECAC 8 7 29 19 23 24 22 21 67 1.00 23 Massachusetts Colonial 7 8 19 16 35 22 18 34 74 0.10 24 Brown Ivy 8 6 23 25 21 25 27 23 75 0.10 25 Hofstra Colonial 7 7 21 21 31 26 24 30 80 0.10 26 Hobart ECAC 6 8 37 22 33 28 23 32 83 0.10 27 Harvard Ivy 6 8 26 9 29 27 25 33 85 0.10 28 St. John's Big East 9 4 22 31 20 20 48 18 86 0.10 29 Air Force ECAC 7 7 27 38 28 32 38 27 97 1.00 30 Marquette Independent 5 8 53 37 38 35 28 35 98 0.10 31 Bellarmine ECAC 7 7 28 36 32 30 40 29 99 0.10 32 Colgate Patriot 8 7 35 34 30 29 41 31 101 0.10 33 Stony Brook America East 7 9 33 32 40 38 26 41 105 0.10 34 Army Patriot 8 6 25 44 24 31 49 26 106 1.00 35 Georgetown Big East 6 9 34 27 39 42 29 38 109 0.10 36 Jacksonville Metro Atlantic 8 5 52 58 25 33 53 24 110 0.10 37 Marist Metro Atlantic 10 4 31 60 22 34 57 22 113 0.10 38 Siena Metro Atlantic 8 9 39 50 42 37 33 43 113 0.10 39 UMBC America East 7 8 40 39 36 36 42 40 118 0.10 40 Providence Big East 8 8 42 49 37 40 45 36 121 0.10 41 Dartmouth Ivy 3 11 41 18 49 46 32 49 127 0.10 42 Hartford America East 7 7 44 43 34 39 52 37 128 0.10 43 Bryant Northeast 8 11 32 48 52 41 37 51 129 0.10 44 Canisius Metro Atlantic 3 10 56 41 48 49 34 46 129 0.10 45 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 6 9 48 42 43 45 43 44 132 0.10 46 Delaware Colonial 5 10 38 40 50 47 36 50 133 0.10 47 Holy Cross Patriot 7 8 46 46 44 44 51 42 137 0.10 48 Robert Morris Northeast 8 7 36 55 41 43 56 39 138 0.10 49 Binghamton America East 5 9 49 47 45 48 50 45 143 0.10 50 Saint Joseph's Colonial 5 11 57 51 55 53 35 56 144 0.10 51 Michigan ECAC 1 13 54 24 60 55 31 61 147 0.10 52 Detroit Metro Atlantic 5 10 50 56 53 50 47 52 149 0.10 53 Navy Patriot 3 10 47 35 51 51 46 53 150 0.10 54 Rutgers Big East 2 13 43 33 61 54 39 59 152 0.10 55 High Point Independent 3 12 60 45 58 56 44 57 157 0.10 56 Quinnipiac Northeast 6 8 51 57 47 52 59 48 159 0.10 57 Lafayette Patriot 3 10 55 54 56 59 55 55 169 0.10 58 Mercer Independent 4 8 59 62 46 60 62 47 169 0.10 59 Vermont America East 4 10 58 52 54 57 58 54 169 0.10 60 Sacred Heart Northeast 3 11 45 53 59 58 54 60 172 0.10 61 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 11 61 61 57 61 60 58 179 0.10 62 VMI Metro Atlantic 1 12 62 59 62 62 61 62 185 0.10 63 Wagner Northeast 1 12 63 63 63 63 63 63 189 0.10