Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = CA
   Nickname = Poets                  Coach  = Brian Kelly             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6611328    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Morrisville State      NEAC          ( 4- 9, 75.1)    16- 6   
 222 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 3-11, 81.1)    17- 6   
 224 H Southwestern           SCAC          ( 7- 9, 75.7)     8- 7   
 306 H Eastern                MAC Freedom   (15- 2, 87.4)     8-12   
 311 H Keene State            Little East   (14- 3, 86.6)     8-10   
 313 H Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 4-11, 84.1)     9-12   
 316 A Mary Washington        Capital       ( 9- 7, 87.7)     5-14   
 318 A Christopher Newport    Independent   ( 8- 9, 84.7)     5- 8   
 321 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (16- 4, 90.6)     3-12   
 323 A Greensboro             Independent   ( 6-10, 82.1)    12-10   
 403 H Claremont              SLC 1 North   ( 6- 9, 73.8)    22- 2   
 406 A Chapman                SLC 1 North   (14- 6, 86.1)     8-10   
 413 A Otterbein              Independent   (12- 6, 81.8)     3-12   
 419 A Dominican U.           WILA          ( 8- 5, 84.3)     9- 8   
 421 A Notre Dame de Namur    WILA          ( 4- 8, 71.9)     4- 5   
 504 H Colorado College       SCAC          (13- 5, 87.7)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Morrisville State      16- 6      10     7    +      2.09
   222 H Oneonta                17- 6      11     1    +++    8.10
   224 H Southwestern            8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.29
   306 H Eastern                 8-12      -4    -4           0.40
   311 H Keene State             8-10      -2    -3           1.59
   313 H Swarthmore              9-12      -3    -1          -1.83
   316 A Mary Washington         5-14      -9    -7          -1.62
   318 A Christopher Newport     5- 8      -3    -4           1.37
   321 A Roanoke                 3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   323 A Greensboro             12-10       2    -1    +      3.73
   403 H Claremont              22- 2      20     9          n/a  
   406 A Chapman                 8-10      -2    -5          n/a  
   413 A Otterbein               3-12      -9    -1    ---   -7.53
   419 A Dominican U.            9- 8       1    -3          n/a  
   421 A Notre Dame de Namur     4- 5      -1     8          n/a  
   504 H Colorado College        7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Southwestern            8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.29
   403 H Claremont              22- 2   
   406 A Chapman                 8-10   
   413 A Otterbein               3-12      -9    -1    ---   -7.53
   419 A Dominican U.            9- 8   
   421 A Notre Dame de Namur     4- 5   
   403 H Claremont              22- 2   
   406 A Chapman                 8-10   
   419 A Dominican U.            9- 8   
   421 A Notre Dame de Namur     4- 5   
   403 H Claremont              22- 2   
   406 A Chapman                 8-10   
   419 A Dominican U.            9- 8   
   421 A Notre Dame de Namur     4- 5   
   504 H Colorado College        7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Oneonta                17- 6      11     1    +++    8.10
   403 H Claremont              22- 2   
   406 A Chapman                 8-10   
   419 A Dominican U.            9- 8   
   421 A Notre Dame de Namur     4- 5   
   403 H Claremont              22- 2   
   406 A Chapman                 8-10   
   419 A Dominican U.            9- 8   
   421 A Notre Dame de Namur     4- 5   
   219 H Morrisville State      16- 6      10     7    +      2.09
   323 A Greensboro             12-10       2    -1    +      3.73
   403 H Claremont              22- 2   
   406 A Chapman                 8-10   
   419 A Dominican U.            9- 8   
   421 A Notre Dame de Namur     4- 5   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.66 Local Power Rank...........    81
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.07 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............   114
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   202
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   127
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/