Conf = Little East Region = North State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jason OuelletGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.8962173 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Maritime Skyline ( 4-12, 69.8) 16- 5 302 A Kean Skyline (15- 3, 84.0) 10-17 306 A Manhattanville MAC Freedom ( 0-16, 71.1) 10- 3 309 H Castleton North Atlanti (15- 4, 78.4) 16-10 313 A Vassar Liberty ( 3-11, 75.2) 14- 9 316 H Plattsburgh SUNYAC (14- 4, 89.1) 2-18 320 A Merchant Marine Landmark ( 9- 8, 80.1) 6-13 323 A Lasell Great Northea ( 8- 8, 73.4) 13- 8 330 H UMass Dartmouth Little East (10- 5, 79.7) 11-12 o 402 H Trinity NESCAC ( 5-10, 84.5) 12-11 o 406 H UMass Boston Little East ( 6-12, 73.0) 20-11 413 A Southern Maine Little East ( 5-11, 77.2) 7-11 417 A Salem State Little East ( 8- 7, 75.6) 11- 7 420 H Plymouth State Little East ( 9- 5, 81.7) 10-17 423 H Eastern Connecticut Little East (10- 8, 84.7) 9-12 427 H Keene State Little East (14- 3, 86.6) 5-19 430 A UMass Dartmouth Little East (10- 5, 79.7) 13-12 4o 503 A Eastern Connecticut Little East (10- 8, 84.7) 4-23PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Maritime 16- 5 11 6 + 3.20 302 A Kean 10-17 -7 -7 0.43 306 A Manhattanville 10- 3 7 5 1.46 309 H Castleton 16-10 6 0 ++ 5.23 313 A Vassar 14- 9 5 1 + 3.61 316 H Plattsburgh 2-18 -16 -9 -0.09 320 A Merchant Marine 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.45 323 A Lasell 13- 8 5 3 1.82 330 H UMass Dartmouth 11-12 o -1 0 -0.47 402 H Trinity 12-11 o 1 -5 +++ 6.28 406 H UMass Boston 20-11 9 6 + 2.77 413 A Southern Maine 7-11 -4 0 - -3.41 417 A Salem State 11- 7 4 0 + 3.02 420 H Plymouth State 10-17 -7 -2 -- -4.46 423 H Eastern Connecticut 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.48 427 H Keene State 5-19 -14 -7 - -2.65 430 A UMass Dartmouth 13-12 4o 1 -3 ++ 4.13 503 A Eastern Connecticut 4-23 -19 -8 -1.91UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Plymouth State 10-17 -7 -2 -- -4.46 320 A Merchant Marine 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.45 413 A Southern Maine 7-11 -4 0 - -3.41 427 H Keene State 5-19 -14 -7 - -2.65OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Trinity 12-11 o 1 -5 +++ 6.28 309 H Castleton 16-10 6 0 ++ 5.23 430 A UMass Dartmouth 13-12 4o 1 -3 ++ 4.13 227 A Maritime 16- 5 11 6 + 3.20 313 A Vassar 14- 9 5 1 + 3.61 406 H UMass Boston 20-11 9 6 + 2.77 417 A Salem State 11- 7 4 0 + 3.02 423 H Eastern Connecticut 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.48/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.90 Local Power Rank........... 116 Local SOS Rating......... 56.60 Local SOS Rank............. 94 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 90 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 200 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 133 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -10.7