Conf = MAC Commonwlth             Region = South        State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Paul Cantabene          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Nazareth               Empire 8      (15- 5, 89.6)    17-11   
 223 A Hampden-Sydney         Old Dominion  (11- 6, 86.7)    11- 5   
 227 H RIT                    Liberty       (19- 3, 94.7)    12-11  o
 302 H Western New England    Commonwealth  (13- 7, 88.5)     9- 5   
 309 H Goucher                Landmark      ( 8- 8, 83.3)    17- 7   
 316 A Elizabethtown          MAC Commonwlt ( 8- 6, 81.6)    19- 3   
 319 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (16- 5, 91.8)     6- 7   
 323 H Hood                   MAC Commonwlt ( 3-14, 73.4)    22- 3   
 327 H Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt (12- 7, 84.1)    19- 4   
 330 H Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (14- 6, 91.7)    12-11  o
 403 A Salisbury              Capital       (17- 6, 94.4)    10- 8   
 406 A Alvernia               MAC Commonwlt ( 5-12, 70.7)    24- 0   
 409 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (16- 4, 90.6)    13-14  o
 413 H Albright               MAC Commonwlt (14- 4, 86.3)    17- 6   
 417 A Messiah                MAC Commonwlt ( 6- 9, 80.6)    21- 4   
 420 A Widener                MAC Commonwlt (11- 6, 89.2)    10- 6   
 427 H Lycoming               MAC Commonwlt ( 4-11, 80.8)    26- 5   
 501 H Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt (12- 7, 84.1)    23- 7   
 504 H Widener                MAC Commonwlt (11- 6, 89.2)     9- 8   
 508 H Christopher Newport    Independent   ( 8- 9, 84.7)    18- 6   
 511 H Washington College     Centennial    (13- 5, 90.5)    17-13   
 515 H Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (14- 6, 91.7)    13- 7   
 519 H Salisbury              Capital       (17- 6, 94.4)    12- 6   
 526 N RIT                    Liberty       (19- 3, 94.7)    16-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Nazareth               17-11       6     6          -0.65
   223 A Hampden-Sydney         11- 5       6     6          -0.93
   227 H RIT                    12-11  o    1     1          -0.47
   302 H Western New England     9- 5       4     7    -     -3.75
   309 H Goucher                17- 7      10    12           0.00
   316 A Elizabethtown          19- 3      16    12           0.00
   319 H Tufts                   6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.45
   323 H Hood                   22- 3      19    22           0.00
   327 H Lebanon Valley         19- 4      15    12           0.00
   330 H Lynchburg              12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.48
   403 A Salisbury              10- 8       2     0    +      2.82
   406 A Alvernia               24- 0      24    22           0.00
   409 A Roanoke                13-14  o   -1     3    --    -4.01
   413 H Albright               17- 6      11     9           0.14
   417 A Messiah                21- 4      17    13           0.00
   420 A Widener                10- 6       4     4          -0.39
   427 H Lycoming               26- 5      21    15           0.00
   501 H Lebanon Valley         23- 7      16    12           0.00
   504 H Widener                 9- 8       1     7    ---   -6.00
   508 H Christopher Newport    18- 6      12    11           0.00
   511 H Washington College     17-13       4     5          -1.75
   515 H Lynchburg              13- 7       6     4           1.52
   519 H Salisbury              12- 6       6     1    ++     4.21
   526 N RIT                    16-14       2     0           1.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Widener                 9- 8       1     7    ---   -6.00
   319 H Tufts                   6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.45
   409 A Roanoke                13-14  o   -1     3    --    -4.01
   302 H Western New England     9- 5       4     7    -     -3.75
   330 H Lynchburg              12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Salisbury              12- 6       6     1    ++     4.21
   403 A Salisbury              10- 8       2     0    +      2.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.22 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   32.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.225.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 22- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   17.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   17.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/