Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.0995178 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Air Force ECAC ( 7- 7, 93.3) 16- 8 216 N Massachusetts Colonial ( 7- 8, 94.3) 11-12 223 H Fairfield ECAC ( 8- 7, 93.0) 10- 9 302 A Notre Dame Big East (11- 5, 96.0) 9-10 3o 309 H Princeton Ivy ( 9- 6, 97.2) 16-15 313 H Duke ACC (16- 5, 98.0) 8-11 318 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 3-11, 91.0) 13- 5 323 A Maryland ACC (10- 4, 98.2) 10- 8 327 H Brown Ivy ( 8- 6, 93.9) 18-12 330 H Johns Hopkins Independent ( 9- 5, 97.6) 11-10 o 406 A Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 95.7) 10- 7 413 A Hofstra Colonial ( 7- 7, 94.3) 14- 5 420 H High Point Independent ( 3-12, 86.8) 20- 8 426 H Duke ACC (16- 5, 98.0) 18-17 428 H Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 95.7) 16-13 511 H Lehigh Patriot (12- 5, 95.5) 16- 7 519 N Denver ECAC (14- 5, 96.9) 11-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Air Force 16- 8 8 5 + 2.40 216 N Massachusetts 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.75 223 H Fairfield 10- 9 1 5 -- -4.94 302 A Notre Dame 9-10 3o -1 1 - -2.28 309 H Princeton 16-15 1 1 -0.72 313 H Duke 8-11 -3 0 - -3.96 318 H Dartmouth 13- 5 8 7 0.08 323 A Maryland 10- 8 2 0 + 2.90 327 H Brown 18-12 6 5 0.98 330 H Johns Hopkins 11-10 o 1 1 -0.31 406 A Virginia 10- 7 3 1 1.47 413 A Hofstra 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.97 420 H High Point 20- 8 12 12 0.00 426 H Duke 18-17 1 0 0.04 428 H Virginia 16-13 3 3 -0.17 511 H Lehigh 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.61 519 N Denver 11-12 -1 1 - -2.20UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 N Massachusetts 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.75 223 H Fairfield 10- 9 1 5 -- -4.94 302 A Notre Dame 9-10 3o -1 1 - -2.28 313 H Duke 8-11 -3 0 - -3.96 519 N Denver 11-12 -1 1 - -2.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A Hofstra 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.97 511 H Lehigh 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.61 208 H Air Force 16- 8 8 5 + 2.40 323 A Maryland 10- 8 2 0 + 2.90/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.10 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 88.17 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 5.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7