Conf = ECAC-II                    Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Griffins               Coach  = Brian Novotny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.4914703    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 N Wheeling Jesuit        ECAC-II       (11- 6, 85.1)    19- 7   
 223 A NYIT                   East Coast    (12- 3, 87.8)    11-12   
 302 A Mars Hill              Independent   (11- 3, 82.2)    14- 9   
 309 H Chestnut Hill          East Coast    ( 7- 6, 84.1)    16- 7   
 316 H Walsh                  ECAC-II       ( 3- 7, 71.5)    21- 4   
 320 H Alderson-Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 0-13, 67.4)    26- 6   
 322 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 6, 82.6)    12- 8   
 326 A Ohio Valley            ECAC-II       ( 6-11, 70.4)    19- 3   
 330 A Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (12- 5, 87.9)    16- 8   
 406 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (13- 4, 86.0)    14- 7   
 412 A Lindenwood             ECAC-II       ( 8- 5, 84.4)    12- 6   
 414 N Colorado Mesa          WILA          ( 7- 6, 81.9)    19- 8   
 419 H Rollins                Deep South    ( 3-14, 78.8)    18- 8   
 427 H Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (18- 1, 89.6)     9-12   
 503 N Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (12- 5, 87.9)    10-12   
 511 A Limestone              Carolinas     (16- 2, 89.0)    13-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 N Wheeling Jesuit        19- 7      12     4    ++     5.62
   223 A NYIT                   11-12      -1     1    -     -2.10
   302 A Mars Hill              14- 9       5     6          -1.71
   309 H Chestnut Hill          16- 7       9     6    +      2.97
   316 H Walsh                  21- 4      17    18           0.00
   320 H Alderson-Broaddus      26- 6      20    22           0.00
   322 H Belmont Abbey          12- 8       4     7    -     -3.55
   326 A Ohio Valley            19- 3      16    18           0.00
   330 A Lake Erie              16- 8       8     0    +++    7.01
   406 H Pfeiffer               14- 7       7     4    +      2.92
   412 A Lindenwood             12- 6       6     4           1.56
   414 N Colorado Mesa          19- 8      11     7    +      2.38
   419 H Rollins                18- 8      10    11           0.00
   427 H Mercyhurst              9-12      -3     0    -     -3.53
   503 N Lake Erie              10-12      -2     1    -     -3.60
   511 A Limestone              13-16      -3     0    -     -2.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A NYIT                   11-12      -1     1    -     -2.10
   322 H Belmont Abbey          12- 8       4     7    -     -3.55
   427 H Mercyhurst              9-12      -3     0    -     -3.53
   503 N Lake Erie              10-12      -2     1    -     -3.60
   511 A Limestone              13-16      -3     0    -     -2.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Lake Erie              16- 8       8     0    +++    7.01
   219 N Wheeling Jesuit        19- 7      12     4    ++     5.62
   309 H Chestnut Hill          16- 7       9     6    +      2.97
   406 H Pfeiffer               14- 7       7     4    +      2.92
   414 N Colorado Mesa          19- 8      11     7    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.49 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.15 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/