Conf = Empire 8 Region = North State = NJ Nickname = Ducks Coach = Gene PelusoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.5138855 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 A Merchant Marine Landmark ( 9- 8, 80.1) 14- 8 224 H Endicott Commonwealth (13- 6, 85.4) 21- 9 227 N Eastern Connecticut Little East (10- 8, 84.7) 16- 8 302 A Springfield Pilgrim (10- 8, 86.0) 16- 8 306 H Muhlenberg Centennial ( 6- 9, 87.2) 11-10 o 313 N Cortland SUNYAC (19- 1, 93.7) 11-12 o 316 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 5, 91.8) 14-18 320 H Montclair State Skyline (14- 5, 88.4) 12-11 330 A Alfred Empire 8 ( 7- 7, 82.1) 22- 8 406 H St. John Fisher Empire 8 (10- 6, 86.4) 10- 8 413 H Utica Empire 8 ( 9- 7, 83.3) 17- 7 417 A Elmira Empire 8 ( 1-12, 77.5) 23- 2 420 A Nazareth Empire 8 (15- 5, 89.6) 8-17 424 H Hartwick Empire 8 ( 6- 8, 79.8) 19-11 427 H Ithaca Empire 8 (12- 6, 89.8) 11- 4 501 H Ithaca Empire 8 (12- 6, 89.8) 10-12 508 H Montclair State Skyline (14- 5, 88.4) 13-11 511 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 5, 91.8) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Merchant Marine 14- 8 6 9 - -3.07 224 H Endicott 21- 9 12 6 + 3.59 227 N Eastern Connecticut 16- 8 8 5 + 2.17 302 A Springfield 16- 8 8 3 ++ 4.77 306 H Muhlenberg 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.66 313 N Cortland 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.20 316 H Tufts 14-18 -4 0 -- -4.06 320 H Montclair State 12-11 1 3 - -2.44 330 A Alfred 22- 8 14 7 + 2.91 406 H St. John Fisher 10- 8 2 5 - -3.43 413 H Utica 17- 7 10 8 1.44 417 A Elmira 23- 2 21 11 0.00 420 A Nazareth 8-17 -9 0 --- -8.66 424 H Hartwick 19-11 8 12 - -2.00 427 H Ithaca 11- 4 7 2 ++ 4.93 501 H Ithaca 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.07 508 H Montclair State 13-11 2 3 -1.44 511 A Tufts 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.45UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Nazareth 8-17 -9 0 --- -8.66 316 H Tufts 14-18 -4 0 -- -4.06 501 H Ithaca 10-12 -2 2 -- -4.07 220 A Merchant Marine 14- 8 6 9 - -3.07 306 H Muhlenberg 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.66 320 H Montclair State 12-11 1 3 - -2.44 406 H St. John Fisher 10- 8 2 5 - -3.43 424 H Hartwick 19-11 8 12 - -2.00 511 A Tufts 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.45OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Springfield 16- 8 8 3 ++ 4.77 427 H Ithaca 11- 4 7 2 ++ 4.93 224 H Endicott 21- 9 12 6 + 3.59 227 N Eastern Connecticut 16- 8 8 5 + 2.17 313 N Cortland 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.20 330 A Alfred 22- 8 14 7 + 2.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.51 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 69.75 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 12 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 10 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 14.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 14.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7