Conf = Capital Region = South State = MD Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim BerkmanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.4164047 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Greensboro Independent ( 6-10, 82.1) 17- 3 216 A Lynchburg Old Dominion (14- 6, 91.7) 12-13 220 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (16- 5, 90.7) 6- 7 2o 223 H Widener MAC Commonwlt (11- 6, 89.2) 7- 5 227 A McDaniel Centennial ( 5-11, 86.3) 16- 3 302 H Gettysburg Centennial ( 9- 7, 90.4) 8- 5 310 H Ohio Wesleyan North Coast (13- 6, 88.1) 4- 3 313 H York Capital (13- 4, 89.7) 9- 3 317 A Roanoke Old Dominion (16- 4, 90.6) 17- 5 320 H Colorado College SCAC (13- 5, 87.7) 9- 4 323 A Frostburg State Capital (13- 7, 85.2) 11- 2 330 H Marymount Capital ( 7- 7, 81.3) 16- 7 403 H Stevenson MAC Commonwlt (22- 2, 94.9) 8-10 406 H Mary Washington Capital ( 9- 7, 87.7) 20- 4 410 A Wesley Capital ( 6- 9, 77.3) 24- 4 413 A St. Mary's Capital (12- 7, 88.5) 15- 4 417 A Washington College Centennial (13- 5, 90.5) 6- 7 427 N Mary Washington Capital ( 9- 7, 87.7) 20- 8 505 H St. Mary's Capital (12- 7, 88.5) 11-13 508 H Susquehanna Landmark (12- 7, 81.5) 22- 2 511 A Washington & Lee Old Dominion (16- 5, 90.7) 7- 4 515 A Dickinson Centennial (18- 1, 93.9) 11- 9 519 A Stevenson MAC Commonwlt (22- 2, 94.9) 6-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Greensboro 17- 3 14 13 0.00 216 A Lynchburg 12-13 -1 1 - -2.38 220 H Washington & Lee 6- 7 2o -1 5 --- -6.03 223 H Widener 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.52 227 A McDaniel 16- 3 13 6 + 3.21 302 H Gettysburg 8- 5 3 5 - -2.36 310 H Ohio Wesleyan 4- 3 1 7 --- -6.67 313 H York 9- 3 6 6 -0.05 317 A Roanoke 17- 5 12 2 +++ 7.47 320 H Colorado College 9- 4 5 7 - -3.00 323 A Frostburg State 11- 2 9 7 1.08 330 H Marymount 16- 7 9 14 -1.00 403 H Stevenson 8-10 -2 0 - -2.82 406 H Mary Washington 20- 4 16 7 + 2.02 410 A Wesley 24- 4 20 15 0.00 413 A St. Mary's 15- 4 11 4 ++ 5.41 417 A Washington College 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.65 427 N Mary Washington 20- 8 12 6 + 3.32 505 H St. Mary's 11-13 -2 7 --- -9.19 508 H Susquehanna 22- 2 20 14 0.00 511 A Washington & Lee 7- 4 3 2 0.58 515 A Dickinson 11- 9 2 0 + 2.77 519 A Stevenson 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.21UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Washington & Lee 6- 7 2o -1 5 --- -6.03 310 H Ohio Wesleyan 4- 3 1 7 --- -6.67 505 H St. Mary's 11-13 -2 7 --- -9.19 223 H Widener 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.52 519 A Stevenson 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.21 216 A Lynchburg 12-13 -1 1 - -2.38 302 H Gettysburg 8- 5 3 5 - -2.36 320 H Colorado College 9- 4 5 7 - -3.00 403 H Stevenson 8-10 -2 0 - -2.82 417 A Washington College 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.65OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Roanoke 17- 5 12 2 +++ 7.47 413 A St. Mary's 15- 4 11 4 ++ 5.41 227 A McDaniel 16- 3 13 6 + 3.21 406 H Mary Washington 20- 4 16 7 + 2.02 427 N Mary Washington 20- 8 12 6 + 3.32 515 A Dickinson 11- 9 2 0 + 2.77/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.42 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 73.44 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 12.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3