Conf = Deep South Region = South State = FL Nickname = Tars Coach = R.J. RossiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.7954559 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Mercer Independent ( 4- 8, 87.0) 3-13 216 A Florida Tech Deep South ( 6- 8, 77.8) 5- 9 224 H Lindenwood ECAC-II ( 8- 5, 84.4) 15-16 2o 228 H Saint Leo Deep South ( 8- 6, 82.7) 9-14 303 H Wingate Deep South ( 2-14, 75.6) 10- 4 306 H Wheeling Jesuit ECAC-II (11- 6, 85.1) 9-17 309 H Belmont Abbey Carolinas (11- 6, 82.6) 7-10 314 H Molloy East Coast (10- 4, 86.1) 5-18 316 H Adams State WILA ( 3- 9, 77.0) 15- 9 320 H Florida Southern Deep South ( 7- 8, 81.8) 10- 7 328 A Lenoir-Rhyne Deep South ( 8- 8, 79.3) 4-10 330 A Catawba Deep South ( 9- 8, 80.5) 11-12 405 A Tampa Deep South (11- 6, 83.8) 6-10 419 A Seton Hill ECAC-II (12- 4, 89.5) 8-18 421 A Lake Erie ECAC-II (12- 5, 87.9) 8-18 426 A Pfeiffer Carolinas (13- 4, 86.0) 4-10 428 N Mars Hill Independent (11- 3, 82.2) 5-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Mercer 3-13 -10 -8 n/a 216 A Florida Tech 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.38 224 H Lindenwood 15-16 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.03 228 H Saint Leo 9-14 -5 -3 -1.73 303 H Wingate 10- 4 6 3 + 2.19 306 H Wheeling Jesuit 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.29 309 H Belmont Abbey 7-10 -3 -3 0.15 314 H Molloy 5-18 -13 -6 - -3.28 316 H Adams State 15- 9 6 2 + 3.60 320 H Florida Southern 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.42 328 A Lenoir-Rhyne 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.88 330 A Catawba 11-12 -1 -2 1.32 405 A Tampa 6-10 -4 -5 1.62 419 A Seton Hill 8-18 -10 -11 0.00 421 A Lake Erie 8-18 -10 -9 -0.29 426 A Pfeiffer 4-10 -6 -7 1.83 428 N Mars Hill 5-10 -5 -3 -1.62UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Mercer 3-13 209 A Mercer 3-13 216 A Florida Tech 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.38 328 A Lenoir-Rhyne 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.88 209 A Mercer 3-13 306 H Wheeling Jesuit 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.29 314 H Molloy 5-18 -13 -6 - -3.28OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Mercer 3-13 209 A Mercer 3-13 224 H Lindenwood 15-16 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.03 320 H Florida Southern 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.42 209 A Mercer 3-13 303 H Wingate 10- 4 6 3 + 2.19 316 H Adams State 15- 9 6 2 + 3.60/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.80 Local Power Rank........... 37 Local SOS Rating......... 62.83 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 36 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 39 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 46 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 3-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -7.0