Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Lars Keil               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0179901    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 0-15, 66.2)    24- 0   
 216 A Lenoir-Rhyne           Deep South    ( 8- 8, 79.3)    12-10   
 219 H Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 5-12, 79.6)    16- 8   
 227 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 9- 8, 80.5)    16- 8   
 302 H Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       (18- 1, 89.6)     8- 9   
 307 H Colorado Mesa          WILA          ( 7- 6, 81.9)    12-10   
 309 H Dominican U.           WILA          ( 8- 5, 84.3)     9- 6   
 316 N Florida Southern       Deep South    ( 7- 8, 81.8)     8- 7   
 320 A Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 7- 7, 83.8)    14- 8   
 323 H Coker                  Carolinas     ( 5-10, 77.7)    13- 6   
 327 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 6, 82.6)    12- 8   
 402 A Mount Olive            Carolinas     ( 7- 7, 82.4)    15-10   
 406 A Seton Hill             ECAC-II       (12- 4, 89.5)     7-14   
 413 H Limestone              Carolinas     (16- 2, 89.0)    10-12   
 419 N Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 7- 7, 83.8)    14- 8   
 421 N Limestone              Carolinas     (16- 2, 89.0)     8-16   
 426 H Rollins                Deep South    ( 3-14, 78.8)    10- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Lees-McRae             24- 0      24    20           0.00
   216 A Lenoir-Rhyne           12-10       2     6    --    -4.11
   219 H Roberts Wesleyan       16- 8       8     7           1.00
   227 A Catawba                16- 8       8     4    +      3.10
   302 H Mercyhurst              8- 9      -1    -2           1.95
   307 H Colorado Mesa          12-10       2     4    -     -2.76
   309 H Dominican U.            9- 6       3     2           0.71
   316 N Florida Southern        8- 7       1     4    -     -3.19
   320 A Queens U. of Charlotte 14- 8       6     1    ++     4.37
   323 H Coker                  13- 6       7     8          -1.97
   327 A Belmont Abbey          12- 8       4     2           1.14
   402 A Mount Olive            15-10       5     3           1.94
   406 A Seton Hill              7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.92
   413 H Limestone              10-12      -2    -2           0.33
   419 N Queens U. of Charlotte 14- 8       6     2    +      3.76
   421 N Limestone               8-16      -8    -2    --    -5.06
   426 H Rollins                10- 4       6     7          -1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Lenoir-Rhyne           12-10       2     6    --    -4.11
   421 N Limestone               8-16      -8    -2    --    -5.06
   307 H Colorado Mesa          12-10       2     4    -     -2.76
   316 N Florida Southern        8- 7       1     4    -     -3.19
   406 A Seton Hill              7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Queens U. of Charlotte 14- 8       6     1    ++     4.37
   227 A Catawba                16- 8       8     4    +      3.10
   419 N Queens U. of Charlotte 14- 8       6     2    +      3.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.02 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.00 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/