Conf = MAC Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Todd Hodgson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8236389    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Dickinson              Centennial    (18- 1, 93.9)     6-15   
 224 A Susquehanna            Landmark      (12- 7, 81.5)     6-10   
 227 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 5- 8, 85.5)     9-11   
 302 H Gwynedd-Mercy          CSAC          ( 8- 6, 79.8)    13- 7   
 306 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (12- 6, 89.8)     7-11   
 309 N Scranton               Landmark      ( 8- 7, 83.7)     4- 9   
 320 A King's                 MAC Freedom   (10- 4, 79.0)     4- 8   
 328 H Alvernia               MAC Commonwlt ( 5-12, 70.7)    19- 2   
 330 A Elizabethtown          MAC Commonwlt ( 8- 6, 81.6)     7-10   
 403 A Messiah                MAC Commonwlt ( 6- 9, 80.6)    13- 5   
 406 A Albright               MAC Commonwlt (14- 4, 86.3)     8-17   
 413 H Widener                MAC Commonwlt (11- 6, 89.2)     1-15   
 420 H Hood                   MAC Commonwlt ( 3-14, 73.4)    11- 5   
 424 H Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt (12- 7, 84.1)     4- 5   
 427 A Stevenson              MAC Commonwlt (22- 2, 94.9)     5-26   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Dickinson               6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   224 A Susquehanna             6-10      -4    -2          -1.97
   227 H Geneseo                 9-11      -2    -3           1.33
   302 H Gwynedd-Mercy          13- 7       6     2    +      3.68
   306 H Ithaca                  7-11      -4    -7    +      3.62
   309 N Scranton                4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.14
   320 A King's                  4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.48
   328 H Alvernia               19- 2      17    11           0.00
   330 A Elizabethtown           7-10      -3    -2          -0.94
   403 A Messiah                13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.03
   406 A Albright                8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.18
   413 H Widener                 1-15     -14    -7    -     -2.92
   420 H Hood                   11- 5       6     8    -     -2.72
   424 H Lebanon Valley          4- 5      -1    -2           1.02
   427 A Stevenson               5-26     -21   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A King's                  4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.48
   309 N Scranton                4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.14
   406 A Albright                8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.18
   413 H Widener                 1-15     -14    -7    -     -2.92
   420 H Hood                   11- 5       6     8    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Messiah                13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.03
   302 H Gwynedd-Mercy          13- 7       6     2    +      3.68
   306 H Ithaca                  7-11      -4    -7    +      3.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.82 Local Power Rank...........    90
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.62 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............   107
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   110
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   151
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/