Conf = Deep South                 Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Greg Paradine           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.3020630    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 6, 82.6)    10-13   
 216 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (13- 4, 86.0)    10-12   
 220 N Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 0-15, 66.2)    10- 2   
 223 A Mars Hill              Independent   (11- 3, 82.2)    11-14   
 302 H Catawba                Deep South    ( 9- 8, 80.5)    12-11  o
 309 A Wingate                Deep South    ( 2-14, 75.6)    16-10   
 312 H Young Harris           Independent   ( 5- 8, 69.3)    16- 2   
 315 H Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 6, 82.7)     5-20   
 317 H Shorter                Independent   ( 7- 7, 73.3)    15- 9   
 322 A Florida Tech           Deep South    ( 6- 8, 77.8)    11- 6   
 324 A Florida Southern       Deep South    ( 7- 8, 81.8)    12-11  o
 328 H Rollins                Deep South    ( 3-14, 78.8)    10- 4   
 330 H Tampa                  Deep South    (11- 6, 83.8)    11-13   
 403 A Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 7- 7, 83.8)     6-17   
 406 A Coker                  Carolinas     ( 5-10, 77.7)     9-12   
 411 H Catawba                Deep South    ( 9- 8, 80.5)    11-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Belmont Abbey          10-13      -3    -3           0.86
   216 H Pfeiffer               10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.11
   220 N Lees-McRae             10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00
   223 A Mars Hill              11-14      -3    -3           0.48
   302 H Catawba                12-11  o    1     0           1.59
   309 A Wingate                16-10       6     3    +      2.91
   312 H Young Harris           16- 2      14    10           0.00
   315 H Saint Leo               5-20     -15    -2    ---   -7.23
   317 H Shorter                15- 9       6     6          -0.60
   322 A Florida Tech           11- 6       5     0    ++     4.11
   324 A Florida Southern       12-11  o    1    -3    ++     4.14
   328 H Rollins                10- 4       6     1    ++     4.88
   330 H Tampa                  11-13      -2    -3           1.89
   403 A Queens U. of Charlotte  6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.92
   406 A Coker                   9-12      -3     1    --    -4.04
   411 H Catawba                11-12  o   -1     0          -0.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Saint Leo               5-20     -15    -2    ---   -7.23
   403 A Queens U. of Charlotte  6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.92
   406 A Coker                   9-12      -3     1    --    -4.04
   220 N Lees-McRae             10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Pfeiffer               10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.11
   322 A Florida Tech           11- 6       5     0    ++     4.11
   324 A Florida Southern       12-11  o    1    -3    ++     4.14
   328 H Rollins                10- 4       6     1    ++     4.88
   309 A Wingate                16-10       6     3    +      2.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.30 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.76 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/