Lafayette                     3 -10


 
   Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Leopards               Coach  = Jim Rogalski            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   88.0258789    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Georgetown             Big East      ( 6- 9, 92.0)    11-10  o
 219 H Stony Brook            America East  ( 7- 9, 92.1)    10-12   
 223 A Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 85.9)     7-11   
 226 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 1-12, 82.1)    13- 9   
 302 H Marist                 Metro Atlanti (10- 4, 92.6)     5- 8   
 305 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-10, 91.2)     9-11   
 309 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 3-10, 90.0)    11-12   
 316 H Bucknell               Patriot       (12- 4, 95.6)     6-13   
 323 A Army                   Patriot       ( 8- 6, 93.9)     6-15   
 327 A High Point             Independent   ( 3-12, 86.8)    10- 9 2o
 406 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 7- 8, 90.0)    10-11   
 413 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 8- 7, 91.9)    10-14   
 420 A Lehigh                 Patriot       (12- 5, 95.5)     5-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Georgetown             11-10  o    1    -4    ++     5.83
   219 H Stony Brook            10-12      -2    -3           1.22
   223 A Manhattan               7-11      -4     1    --    -5.31
   226 A Wagner                 13- 9       4     5          -1.09
   302 H Marist                  5- 8      -3    -3           0.72
   305 H Delaware                9-11      -2    -2           0.31
   309 A Navy                   11-12      -1    -2           1.76
   316 H Bucknell                6-13      -7    -6          -0.27
   323 A Army                    6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.34
   327 A High Point             10- 9 2o    1     0           0.59
   406 H Holy Cross             10-11      -1    -1           0.17
   413 H Colgate                10-14      -4    -3          -0.90
   420 A Lehigh                  5-14      -9    -8          -0.68


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Manhattan               7-11      -4     1    --    -5.31
   323 A Army                    6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.34


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Georgetown             11-10  o    1    -4    ++     5.83




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.03 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.66 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7


  
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