Conf = Independent Region = Southeast State = MD Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Dave PietramalaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.6097717 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Siena Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 91.1) 15- 6 216 A Towson Colonial (10- 8, 92.8) 12- 6 223 H Michigan ECAC ( 1-13, 88.1) 17- 8 301 H Princeton Ivy ( 9- 6, 97.2) 8-11 305 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 6- 9, 89.9) 19- 9 308 H UMBC America East ( 7- 8, 91.1) 13- 7 316 A Syracuse Big East (16- 4, 97.0) 8-13 323 N Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 95.7) 15- 8 330 A North Carolina ACC (13- 4, 98.1) 10-11 o 405 H Albany America East (13- 5, 96.6) 9-10 413 A Maryland ACC (10- 4, 98.2) 7- 4 420 H Navy Patriot ( 3-10, 90.0) 15- 4 427 H Loyola ECAC (11- 5, 97.4) 4- 8 503 A Army Patriot ( 8- 6, 93.9) 9- 4PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Siena 15- 6 9 7 1.72 216 A Towson 12- 6 6 4 1.97 223 H Michigan 17- 8 9 10 -1.00 301 H Princeton 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.23 305 H Mount St. Mary's 19- 9 10 8 1.46 308 H UMBC 13- 7 6 7 -1.37 316 A Syracuse 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.81 323 N Virginia 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.14 330 A North Carolina 10-11 o -1 -1 0.31 405 H Albany 9-10 -1 1 - -2.85 413 A Maryland 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.39 420 H Navy 15- 4 11 8 1.54 427 H Loyola 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.99 503 A Army 9- 4 5 2 + 2.08UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Princeton 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.23 316 A Syracuse 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.81 427 H Loyola 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.99 405 H Albany 9-10 -1 1 - -2.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 N Virginia 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.14 413 A Maryland 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.39 503 A Army 9- 4 5 2 + 2.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.61 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 86.04 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 17 Championship Probability . 8.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0