Elizabethtown                 8 - 6


 
   Conf = MAC Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Terry Corcoran          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.5785065    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Neumann                CSAC          ( 2-11, 75.4)     7- 2   
 310 N Emmanuel               Great Northea ( 7-10, 71.9)    15- 5   
 313 A Frostburg State        Capital       (13- 7, 85.2)     8- 7   
 316 H Stevenson              MAC Commonwlt (22- 2, 94.9)     3-19   
 320 A Immaculata             CSAC          ( 3-11, 74.0)    18-14   
 323 H Misericordia           MAC Freedom   (10- 7, 78.8)     6- 2   
 326 H Union                  Liberty       ( 8- 7, 88.1)     6-12   
 330 H Lycoming               MAC Commonwlt ( 4-11, 80.8)    10- 7   
 403 A Hood                   MAC Commonwlt ( 3-14, 73.4)    14- 2   
 406 H Widener                MAC Commonwlt (11- 6, 89.2)     4-12   
 413 A Messiah                MAC Commonwlt ( 6- 9, 80.6)     6- 7  o
 420 A Albright               MAC Commonwlt (14- 4, 86.3)     8-11   
 423 H Alvernia               MAC Commonwlt ( 5-12, 70.7)    15- 9   
 427 A Lebanon Valley         MAC Commonwlt (12- 7, 84.1)     7- 8  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Neumann                 7- 2       5     7    -     -2.45
   310 N Emmanuel               15- 5      10     9           0.34
   313 A Frostburg State         8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.92
   316 H Stevenson               3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   320 A Immaculata             18-14       4     6    -     -2.28
   323 H Misericordia            6- 2       4     4          -0.11
   326 H Union                   6-12      -6    -5          -0.83
   330 H Lycoming               10- 7       3     2           0.94
   403 A Hood                   14- 2      12     6    +      3.14
   406 H Widener                 4-12      -8    -6          -1.68
   413 A Messiah                 6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.72
   420 A Albright                8-11      -3    -6    +      3.06
   423 H Alvernia               15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   427 A Lebanon Valley          7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.87


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Alvernia               15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   302 H Neumann                 7- 2       5     7    -     -2.45
   320 A Immaculata             18-14       4     6    -     -2.28


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Frostburg State         8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.92
   403 A Hood                   14- 2      12     6    +      3.14
   420 A Albright                8-11      -3    -6    +      3.06
   427 A Lebanon Valley          7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.87




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.58 Local Power Rank...........    82
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.82 Local SOS Rank.............    78
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    88
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    66
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    63
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7


  
/