Conf = ECAC Region = West State = CO Nickname = Pioneers Coach = Bill TierneyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.8964386 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Duke ACC (16- 5, 98.0) 14-12 217 N Penn State Colonial (12- 5, 96.4) 12-15 223 H Lehigh Patriot (12- 5, 95.5) 18-10 224 N Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 87.6) 11- 4 302 H Penn Ivy ( 8- 5, 96.6) 15-12 309 A Ohio State ECAC (13- 4, 96.2) 10- 9 316 H Notre Dame Big East (11- 5, 96.0) 12-13 o 326 H Air Force ECAC ( 7- 7, 93.3) 11-10 o 330 A Hobart ECAC ( 6- 8, 91.2) 14- 5 405 H Marquette Independent ( 5- 8, 88.9) 15- 4 407 H Bellarmine ECAC ( 7- 7, 93.0) 11-10 2o 413 A Loyola ECAC (11- 5, 97.4) 13-12 o 420 H Fairfield ECAC ( 8- 7, 93.0) 9-10 427 H Michigan ECAC ( 1-13, 88.1) 12- 4 502 N Fairfield ECAC ( 8- 7, 93.0) 10- 8 504 N Ohio State ECAC (13- 4, 96.2) 10-11 511 H Albany America East (13- 5, 96.6) 19-14 519 N North Carolina ACC (13- 4, 98.1) 12-11 525 N Syracuse Big East (16- 4, 97.0) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Duke 14-12 2 -1 + 3.88 217 N Penn State 12-15 -3 0 - -3.50 223 H Lehigh 18-10 8 2 ++ 5.82 224 N Canisius 11- 4 7 9 - -2.31 302 H Penn 15-12 3 1 1.93 309 A Ohio State 10- 9 1 0 1.15 316 H Notre Dame 12-13 o -1 1 - -2.71 326 H Air Force 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.40 330 A Hobart 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.16 405 H Marquette 15- 4 11 8 1.16 407 H Bellarmine 11-10 2o 1 4 - -3.73 413 A Loyola 13-12 o 1 -1 + 2.35 420 H Fairfield 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.74 427 H Michigan 12- 4 8 9 -1.64 502 N Fairfield 10- 8 2 3 -1.92 504 N Ohio State 10-11 -1 0 -1.66 511 H Albany 19-14 5 1 + 3.87 519 N North Carolina 12-11 1 -1 + 2.20 525 N Syracuse 8- 9 -1 0 -0.91UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Fairfield 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.74 217 N Penn State 12-15 -3 0 - -3.50 224 N Canisius 11- 4 7 9 - -2.31 316 H Notre Dame 12-13 o -1 1 - -2.71 326 H Air Force 11-10 o 1 4 - -3.40 407 H Bellarmine 11-10 2o 1 4 - -3.73OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Lehigh 18-10 8 2 ++ 5.82 330 A Hobart 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.16 209 A Duke 14-12 2 -1 + 3.88 413 A Loyola 13-12 o 1 -1 + 2.35 511 H Albany 19-14 5 1 + 3.87 519 N North Carolina 12-11 1 -1 + 2.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.90 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 86.59 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7