Conf = Commonwealth               Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Colonels               Coach  = Tim Murphy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.4515228    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 H Mitchell               Independent   ( 9- 4, 71.0)    15- 6   
 302 A Mount Ida              Great Northea (11- 8, 73.5)    11-10  o
 305 H Southern Maine         Little East   ( 5-11, 77.2)    14-13  o
 313 A Manhattanville         MAC Freedom   ( 0-16, 71.1)     8- 5   
 317 H Norwich                Great Northea (12- 5, 75.5)     7- 5   
 320 H Salem State            Little East   ( 8- 7, 75.6)     6-10   
 323 A Anna Maria             Great Northea ( 6-10, 68.1)    13- 8   
 327 A Endicott               Commonwealth  (13- 6, 85.4)    10-18   
 330 A Husson                 North Atlanti ( 8- 9, 69.1)    11-10 2o
 403 H Gordon                 Commonwealth  ( 3-12, 73.8)    10-13   
 406 A Roger Williams         Commonwealth  ( 9- 7, 81.6)     6- 9   
 410 H Wentworth              Commonwealth  (11- 7, 79.4)     7-14   
 413 A Nichols                Commonwealth  ( 4-11, 72.4)     9-10  o
 416 A Salve Regina           Commonwealth  ( 7-10, 75.0)    11-14   
 420 H Western New England    Commonwealth  (13- 7, 88.5)     7-16   
 424 H U. of New England      Commonwealth  (14- 5, 79.2)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Mitchell               15- 6       9     4    ++     4.25
   302 A Mount Ida              11-10  o    1     0           1.37
   305 H Southern Maine         14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.43
   313 A Manhattanville          8- 5       3     2           0.91
   317 H Norwich                 7- 5       2     0           1.78
   320 H Salem State             6-10      -4     0    --    -4.15
   323 A Anna Maria             13- 8       5     5          -0.09
   327 A Endicott               10-18      -8   -12    +      2.00
   330 A Husson                 11-10 2o    1     4    -     -3.06
   403 H Gordon                 10-13      -3     1    --    -4.93
   406 A Roger Williams          6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.41
   410 H Wentworth               7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.38
   413 A Nichols                 9-10  o   -1     0          -1.77
   416 A Salve Regina           11-14      -3    -1          -1.17
   420 H Western New England     7-16      -9   -12           1.00
   424 H U. of New England       7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Salem State             6-10      -4     0    --    -4.15
   403 H Gordon                 10-13      -3     1    --    -4.93
   424 H U. of New England       7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.56
   330 A Husson                 11-10 2o    1     4    -     -3.06
   410 H Wentworth               7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Mitchell               15- 6       9     4    ++     4.25
   406 A Roger Williams          6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.41
   305 H Southern Maine         14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.43
   327 A Endicott               10-18      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.45 Local Power Rank...........   136
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.88 Local SOS Rank.............   131
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   117
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    56
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   143
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/