Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Bearcats Coach = Scott NelsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.7047653 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 91.1) 8- 9 226 A Cornell Ivy (14- 4, 99.9) 6-11 302 H Hobart ECAC ( 6- 8, 91.2) 6- 2 309 A Delaware Colonial ( 5-10, 91.2) 9- 8 312 A Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 5-12 316 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 85.9) 13- 6 319 H Penn State Colonial (12- 5, 96.4) 7-11 323 H Quinnipiac Northeast ( 6- 8, 89.5) 11- 9 330 H Albany America East (13- 5, 96.6) 8-21 406 A Stony Brook America East ( 7- 9, 92.1) 14-13 o 413 H Hartford America East ( 7- 7, 90.4) 3-11 415 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 87.6) 11-12 420 H Vermont America East ( 4-10, 87.0) 7- 8 427 A UMBC America East ( 7- 8, 91.1) 9-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A Siena 8- 9 -1 -2 1.26 226 A Cornell 6-11 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 302 H Hobart 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.72 309 A Delaware 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.27 312 A Colgate 5-12 -7 -3 - -3.95 316 H Manhattan 13- 6 7 4 + 2.37 319 H Penn State 7-11 -4 -5 1.88 323 H Quinnipiac 11- 9 2 1 0.96 330 H Albany 8-21 -13 -6 - -3.94 406 A Stony Brook 14-13 o 1 -3 ++ 4.17 413 H Hartford 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.13 415 A Canisius 11-12 -1 1 - -2.30 420 H Vermont 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.50 427 A UMBC 9-10 -1 -2 1.17UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Hartford 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.13 420 H Vermont 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.50 312 A Colgate 5-12 -7 -3 - -3.95 330 H Albany 8-21 -13 -6 - -3.94 415 A Canisius 11-12 -1 1 - -2.30OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Cornell 6-11 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 302 H Hobart 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.72 406 A Stony Brook 14-13 o 1 -3 ++ 4.17 309 A Delaware 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.27 316 H Manhattan 13- 6 7 4 + 2.37/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.70 Local Power Rank........... 49 Local SOS Rating......... 80.47 Local SOS Rank............. 47 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 48 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 22 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 45 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0