Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Great Danes Coach = Scott MarrGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5807953 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Syracuse Big East (16- 4, 97.0) 16-15 2o 223 A Drexel Colonial (11- 4, 93.9) 19-20 302 H Yale Ivy (12- 5, 97.3) 8-15 305 H Massachusetts Colonial ( 7- 8, 94.3) 15- 9 309 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 87.6) 12-11 316 A Bryant Northeast ( 8-11, 92.4) 17-15 323 H Bucknell Patriot (12- 4, 95.6) 12-18 326 A Harvard Ivy ( 6- 8, 93.7) 16- 7 330 A Binghamton America East ( 5- 9, 89.7) 21- 8 405 A Johns Hopkins Independent ( 9- 5, 97.6) 10- 9 407 H Hartford America East ( 7- 7, 90.4) 24-11 413 A Vermont America East ( 4-10, 87.0) 21-11 419 H UMBC America East ( 7- 8, 91.1) 16-10 423 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 91.1) 9-10 427 A Stony Brook America East ( 7- 9, 92.1) 21-12 502 A Stony Brook America East ( 7- 9, 92.1) 17-15 504 N UMBC America East ( 7- 8, 91.1) 19-10 511 A Denver ECAC (14- 5, 96.9) 14-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Syracuse 16-15 2o 1 -1 + 2.22 223 A Drexel 19-20 -1 1 - -2.88 302 H Yale 8-15 -7 0 --- -7.12 305 H Massachusetts 15- 9 6 3 + 2.95 309 A Canisius 12-11 1 8 --- -7.17 316 A Bryant 17-15 2 3 -1.38 323 H Bucknell 12-18 -6 1 --- -7.83 326 A Harvard 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.93 330 A Binghamton 21- 8 13 6 + 3.94 405 A Johns Hopkins 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.85 407 H Hartford 24-11 13 7 + 3.00 413 A Vermont 21-11 10 8 1.26 419 H UMBC 16-10 6 6 -0.34 423 A Siena 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.61 427 A Stony Brook 21-12 9 3 ++ 5.30 502 A Stony Brook 17-15 2 3 -1.70 504 N UMBC 19-10 9 5 + 3.48 511 A Denver 14-19 -5 -1 - -3.87UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Yale 8-15 -7 0 --- -7.12 309 A Canisius 12-11 1 8 --- -7.17 323 H Bucknell 12-18 -6 1 --- -7.83 423 A Siena 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.61 223 A Drexel 19-20 -1 1 - -2.88 511 A Denver 14-19 -5 -1 - -3.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Harvard 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.93 427 A Stony Brook 21-12 9 3 ++ 5.30 217 A Syracuse 16-15 2o 1 -1 + 2.22 305 H Massachusetts 15- 9 6 3 + 2.95 330 A Binghamton 21- 8 13 6 + 3.94 405 A Johns Hopkins 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.85 407 H Hartford 24-11 13 7 + 3.00 504 N UMBC 19-10 9 5 + 3.48/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.58 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 83.18 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0