2012 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 23 0 1 10 1 1 2 1 4 63.00 2 Cortland SUNYAC 21 1 2 4 2 2 3 2 7 9.00 3 Stevenson Capital 18 5 6 2 3 5 1 3 9 1.00 4 Tufts NESCAC 18 3 5 3 5 3 7 6 16 1.00 5 RIT Liberty 16 3 9 24 9 6 6 7 19 3.00 6 Lynchburg Old Dominion 17 2 3 22 4 4 11 5 20 7.00 7 Union Liberty 13 5 12 20 16 8 4 13 25 0.10 8 Denison North Coast 15 2 8 46 8 7 17 4 28 2.00 9 Stevens Empire 8 17 3 10 41 12 11 8 9 28 0.10 10 Goucher Landmark 18 2 14 63 7 9 12 10 31 0.10 11 Western New Engl Commonwealth 13 5 17 42 18 12 14 14 40 0.10 12 Adrian Midwest 17 2 51 109 11 10 22 11 43 0.10 13 Dickinson Centennial 15 4 7 12 10 13 16 17 46 3.00 14 Cabrini CSAC 17 3 4 58 6 19 20 8 47 7.00 15 Gettysburg Centennial 11 7 18 1 13 16 5 26 47 0.10 16 Roanoke Old Dominion 11 4 11 31 17 14 19 15 48 2.00 17 Washington Colle Centennial 11 6 13 11 22 21 10 30 61 1.00 18 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 11 5 19 60 25 20 18 24 62 0.10 19 Springfield Pilgrim 14 4 21 53 15 15 34 18 67 0.10 20 Bowdoin NESCAC 14 6 16 18 28 18 32 25 75 0.10 21 Ithaca Empire 8 12 6 32 37 24 23 25 27 75 0.10 22 St. Lawrence Liberty 12 3 31 39 14 17 50 12 79 0.10 23 St. Mary's Capital 10 6 23 26 20 41 15 23 79 0.10 24 Kenyon North Coast 10 5 63 66 33 24 30 28 82 0.10 25 McDaniel Centennial 11 7 40 13 35 22 21 47 90 0.10 26 Trinity NESCAC 11 7 28 15 49 26 23 46 95 0.10 27 Birmingham-South SCAC 14 5 70 134 26 50 28 20 98 0.10 28 Clarkson Liberty 9 6 25 34 37 30 39 34 103 1.00 29 Mary Washington Capital 10 5 43 36 36 34 40 29 103 0.10 30 Drew Landmark 13 4 53 70 23 25 58 22 105 0.10 31 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 10 7 35 16 51 28 29 49 106 0.10 32 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 10 9 30 21 45 37 9 63 109 0.10 33 St. John Fisher Empire 8 11 5 33 40 27 29 51 33 113 0.10 34 Amherst NESCAC 9 7 24 9 63 31 35 53 119 0.10 35 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 9 7 39 38 47 35 33 55 123 0.10 36 Aurora Midwest 13 4 89 130 32 42 66 19 127 0.10 37 Endicott Commonwealth 11 9 55 54 77 33 24 72 129 0.10 38 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 10 5 15 33 31 32 64 36 132 0.10 39 Nazareth Empire 8 8 9 37 28 88 39 13 83 135 0.10 40 Montclair State Skyline 11 6 49 73 44 49 48 45 142 0.10 41 Wheaton Pilgrim 11 5 76 101 54 45 56 41 142 0.10 42 Eastern Connecti Little East 12 6 42 59 46 27 57 60 144 0.10 43 Colorado College SCAC 12 3 64 131 21 44 82 21 147 0.10 44 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 10 7 48 43 57 48 43 57 148 0.10 45 Wittenberg North Coast 8 5 79 82 50 38 69 42 149 0.10 46 York Capital 9 7 41 35 59 63 36 52 151 0.10 47 Geneseo SUNYAC 6 8 27 25 81 47 26 79 152 0.10 48 Roger Williams Commonwealth 10 6 69 74 65 40 54 62 156 0.10 49 Wesleyan NESCAC 9 6 29 30 58 53 45 58 156 0.10 50 Rensselaer Liberty 10 5 38 51 40 43 77 37 157 0.10 51 Widener MAC Commonwlth 9 8 46 45 73 51 31 75 157 0.10 52 Colby NESCAC 9 5 26 32 42 36 81 43 160 0.10 53 Haverford Centennial 6 8 36 7 61 54 27 80 161 0.10 54 Keene State Little East 10 6 20 71 69 52 44 65 161 0.10 55 Babson Pilgrim 10 7 52 81 68 57 47 59 163 0.10 56 Hamilton NESCAC 9 6 34 27 60 46 60 61 167 0.10 57 Sewanee SCAC 12 5 106 138 48 62 65 48 175 0.10 58 Mount Ida Great Northeas 15 5 115 154 39 61 80 39 180 0.10 59 Mount St. Joseph Midwest 9 8 107 107 93 60 37 87 184 0.10 60 Eastern MAC Freedom 13 5 54 76 30 55 96 35 186 0.10 61 Catholic Landmark 9 6 61 64 56 68 71 54 193 0.10 62 Lasell Great Northeas 12 5 124 153 43 67 86 40 193 0.10 63 Ursinus Centennial 6 9 44 8 84 64 38 96 198 0.10 64 Otterbein Independent 9 6 98 121 64 75 76 51 202 0.10 65 UMass Dartmouth Little East 10 6 77 106 70 56 78 73 207 0.10 66 Centre SCAC 12 4 113 152 29 74 103 31 208 0.10 67 Kean Skyline 12 6 80 87 62 59 95 56 210 0.10 68 Albright MAC Commonwlth 16 3 74 129 19 72 125 16 213 0.10 69 Carthage Midwest 11 5 92 147 52 69 102 44 215 0.10 70 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 9 8 57 50 83 73 61 81 215 0.10 71 Concordia-Wiscon Midwest 9 7 134 135 87 84 67 68 219 0.10 72 Scranton Landmark 9 7 59 61 79 66 70 84 220 0.10 73 Middlebury NESCAC 4 9 22 5 111 78 41 103 222 0.10 74 New England Coll North Atlantic 12 7 78 140 71 82 72 70 224 0.10 75 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 11 7 47 48 72 58 98 71 227 0.10 76 Christopher Newp Independent 6 9 68 47 107 77 52 99 228 0.10 77 Oneonta SUNYAC 5 10 66 19 121 71 42 117 230 0.10 78 Oswego SUNYAC 8 6 72 72 66 65 105 67 237 0.10 79 Marywood CSAC 10 8 85 83 78 83 68 90 241 0.10 80 Wooster North Coast 6 9 90 89 115 97 46 107 250 0.10 81 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 10 6 81 99 41 81 104 66 251 0.10 82 Norwich Great Northeas 11 7 129 159 86 76 90 88 254 0.10 83 Whittier Independent 7 6 60 57 55 70 128 64 262 0.10 84 Gordon Commonwealth 8 8 94 88 100 89 84 91 264 0.10 85 Susquehanna Landmark 9 7 67 84 80 86 94 85 265 0.10 86 Skidmore Liberty 5 10 62 23 126 98 49 123 270 0.10 87 Keuka NEAC 11 4 97 148 34 96 144 32 272 0.10 88 Plymouth State Little East 10 6 96 112 67 79 124 74 277 0.10 89 Lycoming MAC Commonwlth 7 8 75 62 103 80 91 110 281 0.10 90 Swarthmore Centennial 5 10 56 29 114 85 55 141 281 0.10 91 Morrisville Stat NEAC 11 5 108 125 53 87 145 50 282 0.10 92 Western Connecti Little East 9 7 95 95 89 90 107 92 289 0.10 93 MIT Pilgrim 7 8 123 93 82 92 133 69 294 0.10 94 Trine Midwest 7 7 120 128 94 93 117 89 299 0.10 95 Brockport SUNYAC 5 10 65 55 127 99 73 128 300 0.10 96 Fairleigh Dickin MAC Freedom 8 8 109 78 90 88 112 100 300 0.10 97 Williams NESCAC 3 10 45 6 138 106 59 137 302 0.10 98 Bates NESCAC 4 9 50 17 119 101 83 120 304 0.10 99 Potsdam SUNYAC 5 8 71 52 109 95 106 105 306 0.10 100 Lebanon Valley MAC Commonwlth 9 6 104 120 75 104 126 77 307 0.10 101 Curry Commonwealth 10 8 126 118 85 91 140 82 313 0.10 102 Misericordia MAC Freedom 11 5 88 132 38 102 175 38 315 0.10 103 Elizabethtown MAC Commonwlth 7 8 93 102 108 110 97 112 319 0.10 104 Utica Empire 8 8 8 83 77 98 100 113 106 319 0.10 105 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 10 10 99 98 136 94 100 131 325 0.10 106 Messiah MAC Commonwlth 7 8 73 96 110 107 108 111 326 0.10 107 Clark Pilgrim 6 8 110 111 112 105 120 108 333 0.10 108 Greensboro Independent 8 8 87 79 96 111 132 95 338 0.10 109 Albion Midwest 6 10 138 127 139 119 93 127 339 0.10 110 Centenary CSAC 6 9 102 97 106 122 99 125 346 0.10 111 Anna Maria Great Northeas 10 8 150 172 99 113 136 98 347 0.10 112 Nichols Commonwealth 7 9 128 124 125 114 111 122 347 0.10 113 Hartwick Empire 8 7 8 86 85 102 112 129 109 350 0.10 114 Muhlenberg Centennial 2 12 58 14 155 115 63 173 351 0.10 115 Hood Capital 4 13 111 49 175 128 53 171 352 0.10 116 Merchant Marine Landmark 4 11 121 90 151 126 75 152 353 0.10 117 Fontbonne Midwest 8 8 131 145 91 109 159 86 354 0.10 118 Guilford Old Dominion 6 9 84 69 117 103 137 115 355 0.10 119 Stockton Skyline 7 9 91 108 122 117 118 124 359 0.10 120 Castleton North Atlantic 11 9 132 160 116 116 131 114 361 0.10 121 Southwestern SCAC 5 11 152 133 159 131 74 157 362 0.10 122 Marymount Capital 5 11 100 65 144 133 88 142 363 0.10 123 Southern Maine Little East 6 10 118 105 146 108 110 148 366 0.10 124 King's MAC Freedom 7 8 105 114 113 120 134 113 367 0.10 125 Vassar Liberty 3 10 103 67 143 130 101 138 369 0.10 126 Saint Vincent Independent 6 9 116 94 123 129 123 119 371 0.10 127 Oberlin North Coast 5 11 135 123 152 139 89 146 374 0.10 128 Washington & Jef Landmark 5 11 114 92 157 134 85 155 374 0.10 129 Hendrix SCAC 5 10 156 151 150 132 92 151 375 0.10 130 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 6 9 82 86 133 118 127 134 379 0.10 131 Wesley Capital 2 12 122 44 161 141 79 162 382 0.10 132 Augustana Independent 8 6 142 179 76 142 167 78 387 0.10 133 Husson North Atlantic 11 9 149 177 118 123 149 116 388 0.10 134 Cazenovia NEAC 7 8 144 137 95 124 172 93 389 0.10 135 Salve Regina Commonwealth 1 6 137 103 97 149 150 97 396 0.10 136 Frostburg State Capital 2 15 112 56 184 154 62 182 398 0.10 137 Medaille NEAC 8 8 136 150 92 125 180 94 399 0.10 138 Ferrum Independent 6 9 117 113 134 127 142 135 404 0.10 139 Alfred Empire 8 4 11 101 75 147 121 135 149 405 0.10 140 Berry Independent 6 9 130 141 131 136 139 132 407 0.10 141 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 7 9 159 143 130 137 143 130 410 0.10 142 Elmira Empire 8 3 10 119 68 148 143 119 150 412 0.10 143 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 7 9 151 144 129 144 148 121 413 0.10 144 Manhattanville MAC Freedom 4 11 125 91 165 135 115 164 414 0.10 145 UMass Boston Little East 3 13 143 116 182 145 87 183 415 0.10 146 SUNY Canton Independent 4 6 167 173 74 157 185 76 418 0.10 147 Randolph Old Dominion 3 12 147 80 167 140 116 165 421 0.10 148 St. Joseph's (ME Great Northeas 8 10 155 169 142 138 141 143 422 0.10 149 Wentworth Tech. Commonwealth 2 11 141 117 171 146 114 167 427 0.10 150 Piedmont Independent 5 7 157 167 105 155 170 104 429 0.10 151 Emmanuel Great Northeas 7 9 164 181 128 151 151 129 431 0.10 152 Hanover Midwest 4 12 162 149 179 152 109 170 431 0.10 153 DeSales MAC Freedom 6 9 127 126 132 148 157 133 438 0.10 154 Mitchell Independent 5 7 163 180 104 160 181 102 443 0.10 155 Neumann CSAC 6 10 133 115 137 153 146 145 444 0.10 156 Hilbert NEAC 5 7 161 171 101 165 179 101 445 0.10 157 MSoE Midwest 1 10 175 136 160 156 138 153 447 0.10 158 Immaculata CSAC 3 12 140 100 164 150 121 179 450 0.10 159 Salem State Little East 4 12 139 122 177 147 122 181 450 0.10 160 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 6 9 148 175 135 158 169 136 463 0.10 161 Lyndon State North Atlantic 3 8 183 182 124 172 176 126 474 0.10 162 Regis Pilgrim 4 11 166 166 166 161 154 160 475 0.10 163 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 7 10 154 164 145 163 171 144 478 0.10 164 Huntingdon Independent 5 10 173 178 120 178 186 118 482 0.10 165 Alvernia MAC Commonwlth 5 11 158 142 162 167 156 161 484 0.10 166 Daniel Webster Great Northeas 4 9 171 187 140 174 173 139 486 0.10 167 Emerson Great Northeas 1 9 182 176 149 173 168 147 488 0.10 168 Wells NEAC 3 11 168 165 170 169 152 169 490 0.10 169 Rhodes SCAC 2 10 172 170 158 170 163 159 492 0.10 170 Rivier Great Northeas 4 10 184 184 153 175 164 154 493 0.10 171 Maritime Skyline 3 13 145 110 183 159 153 184 496 0.10 172 Rosemont CSAC 0 14 181 104 189 177 130 189 496 0.10 173 Becker Great Northeas 4 12 165 174 178 162 158 177 497 0.10 174 Cobleskill NEAC 3 11 153 155 169 171 162 168 501 0.10 175 Johnson State North Atlantic 4 9 177 188 141 181 182 140 503 0.10 176 Millsaps SCAC 3 11 176 163 154 164 183 156 503 0.10 177 La Roche Independent 5 12 160 146 180 166 160 180 506 0.10 178 Dallas SCAC 2 13 179 139 181 168 165 178 511 0.10 179 SUNYIT NEAC 2 12 170 158 173 176 161 174 511 0.10 180 Shenandoah CSAC 2 14 146 119 186 180 147 188 515 0.10 181 Thiel Independent 3 11 169 156 156 179 178 158 515 0.10 182 Thomas North Atlantic 4 11 185 183 168 182 174 166 522 0.10 183 Oglethorpe SCAC 1 13 178 162 185 183 155 185 523 0.10 184 Maine Farmington North Atlantic 2 11 180 185 172 184 177 172 533 0.10 185 Penn State Abing NEAC 0 13 189 157 187 185 166 186 537 0.10 186 Wheelock Independent 0 10 187 189 163 189 189 163 541 0.10 187 Green Mountain North Atlantic 0 11 188 186 176 187 187 176 550 0.10 188 Bethany Independent 1 12 174 161 174 188 188 175 551 0.10 189 Alma Independent 1 15 186 168 188 186 184 187 557 0.10