2012 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Loyola ECAC 18 1 2 18 1 1 3 1 5 15.00 2 Duke ACC 15 5 7 2 2 4 4 2 10 4.00 3 Maryland ACC 12 6 5 3 10 3 1 8 12 9.00 4 Notre Dame Big East 13 3 11 6 3 2 10 3 15 2.00 5 Colgate Patriot 14 4 12 20 6 6 5 6 17 2.00 6 Virginia ACC 12 4 6 5 5 8 8 5 21 4.00 7 Denver ECAC 9 7 4 4 18 10 2 14 26 13.00 8 North Carolina ACC 11 6 13 12 9 13 6 10 29 0.10 9 Lehigh Patriot 14 3 8 32 8 9 14 7 30 5.00 10 Johns Hopkins Independent 12 4 10 11 7 7 15 9 31 4.00 11 Fairfield ECAC 12 4 23 24 11 11 19 11 41 1.00 12 Massachusetts Colonial 15 1 1 26 4 5 32 4 41 26.00 13 Ohio State ECAC 8 7 19 27 22 19 7 19 45 0.10 14 Yale Ivy 11 5 14 14 12 14 16 16 46 1.00 15 Princeton Ivy 11 5 3 15 14 12 22 15 49 5.00 16 Penn State Colonial 9 6 20 8 17 16 17 17 50 1.00 17 Syracuse Big East 9 8 16 10 23 18 11 22 51 2.00 18 Drexel Colonial 8 8 18 9 28 17 9 27 53 0.10 19 Bucknell Patriot 9 7 15 22 27 20 13 24 57 2.00 20 Cornell Ivy 9 4 9 13 13 15 34 13 62 1.00 21 Villanova Big East 8 7 21 7 20 21 18 23 62 0.10 22 Army Patriot 7 8 25 33 25 29 12 26 67 1.00 23 Georgetown Big East 7 6 32 23 21 23 29 20 72 0.10 24 Navy Patriot 6 6 29 29 19 24 30 21 75 1.00 25 Bryant Northeast 14 4 17 54 16 25 40 12 77 0.10 26 Towson Colonial 7 8 40 28 29 28 21 29 78 0.10 27 Hofstra Colonial 6 8 22 17 33 27 24 31 82 0.10 28 St. John's Big East 8 7 31 25 31 26 28 28 82 0.10 29 Robert Morris Northeast 11 4 28 45 15 22 45 18 85 0.10 30 Brown Ivy 7 8 27 21 26 32 26 30 88 1.00 31 Hobart ECAC 4 9 37 16 42 30 23 39 92 0.10 32 Penn Ivy 3 10 30 1 38 33 20 44 97 0.10 33 Delaware Colonial 6 9 33 35 36 34 27 38 99 0.10 34 Harvard Ivy 6 8 24 31 30 38 36 33 107 0.10 35 UMBC America East 5 8 43 34 37 36 38 35 109 0.10 36 Dartmouth Ivy 5 9 38 19 35 40 35 36 111 0.10 37 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 6 9 41 43 44 41 25 46 112 0.10 38 Siena Metro Atlantic 11 5 26 55 24 31 57 25 113 0.10 39 Air Force ECAC 6 7 35 44 32 39 43 32 114 0.10 40 Stony Brook America East 7 10 34 36 48 35 31 48 114 0.10 41 Bellarmine ECAC 4 8 39 37 34 44 39 34 117 0.10 42 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 8 53 49 40 37 46 41 124 0.10 43 Albany America East 5 11 42 30 49 42 33 51 126 0.10 44 Rutgers Big East 6 9 46 40 45 45 41 43 129 0.10 45 Saint Joseph's Colonial 6 9 51 47 46 46 42 45 133 0.10 46 Marist Metro Atlantic 6 8 45 52 43 43 53 40 136 0.10 47 Hartford America East 6 9 36 48 41 48 51 42 141 0.10 48 Jacksonville Metro Atlantic 6 7 47 61 39 47 58 37 142 0.10 49 Holy Cross Patriot 5 10 55 41 52 49 44 52 145 0.10 50 Lafayette Patriot 3 10 50 46 54 51 47 53 151 0.10 51 Providence Big East 2 12 48 42 58 56 37 58 151 0.10 52 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 5 9 57 57 47 52 55 47 154 0.10 53 Detroit Metro Atlantic 6 9 52 58 51 50 56 50 156 0.10 54 VMI Metro Atlantic 4 10 59 56 55 53 52 55 160 0.10 55 Sacred Heart Northeast 4 9 44 53 53 54 54 54 162 0.10 56 Binghamton America East 4 9 49 51 50 55 59 49 163 0.10 57 Quinnipiac Northeast 3 11 56 50 56 57 50 56 163 0.10 58 Vermont America East 2 12 54 38 59 58 48 57 163 0.10 59 Michigan ECAC 1 13 58 39 57 59 49 59 167 0.10 60 Mercer Independent 1 13 60 59 60 60 60 60 180 0.10 61 Wagner Northeast 1 13 61 60 61 61 61 61 183 0.10