Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.2160034 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 N Penn State Colonial ( 9- 6, 95.7) 14-10 212 N Mercer Independent ( 1-13, 82.6) 20- 7 218 H Detroit Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 89.9) 18- 8 225 A Navy Patriot ( 6- 6, 94.3) 9- 8 303 H Lehigh Patriot (14- 3, 97.8) 8- 9 306 A Penn Ivy ( 3-10, 94.3) 6-10 310 N Princeton Ivy (11- 5, 98.9) 9- 8 316 A Duke ACC (15- 5, 97.9) 11-13 321 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 5- 9, 92.9) 13-10 324 H Maryland ACC (12- 6, 98.5) 11-10 401 N Johns Hopkins Independent (12- 4, 97.8) 13- 9 407 H Virginia ACC (12- 4, 98.3) 10-15 414 N Hofstra Colonial ( 6- 8, 95.2) 12- 9 420 A Virginia ACC (12- 4, 98.3) 11- 9 422 N Duke ACC (15- 5, 97.9) 9-12 505 H Michigan ECAC ( 1-13, 88.4) 19- 5 512 H Denver ECAC ( 9- 7, 98.6) 14-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 N Penn State 14-10 4 1 + 2.48 212 N Mercer 20- 7 13 14 0.00 218 H Detroit 18- 8 10 8 1.46 225 A Navy 9- 8 1 1 -0.68 303 H Lehigh 8- 9 -1 0 -1.57 306 A Penn 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.69 310 N Princeton 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.66 316 A Duke 11-13 -2 -1 -0.07 321 H Dartmouth 13-10 3 5 - -2.56 324 H Maryland 11-10 1 0 1.13 401 N Johns Hopkins 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.57 407 H Virginia 10-15 -5 0 -- -5.16 414 N Hofstra 12- 9 3 2 0.99 420 A Virginia 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.24 422 N Duke 9-12 -3 0 - -2.27 505 H Michigan 19- 5 14 10 0.00 512 H Denver 14-16 -2 0 -1.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Penn 6-10 -4 1 -- -5.69 407 H Virginia 10-15 -5 0 -- -5.16 321 H Dartmouth 13-10 3 5 - -2.56 422 N Duke 9-12 -3 0 - -2.27OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 N Johns Hopkins 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.57 420 A Virginia 11- 9 2 -2 ++ 4.24 211 N Penn State 14-10 4 1 + 2.48 310 N Princeton 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.66/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.22 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 88.62 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 56 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0