Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Andrew McMinn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3386688    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 A Bellarmine             ECAC          ( 4- 8, 92.5)     9- 8   
 218 A UMBC                   America East  ( 5- 8, 91.5)    10- 8   
 225 N Air Force              ECAC          ( 6- 7, 93.6)    17-14   
 226 A Denver                 ECAC          ( 9- 7, 98.6)     8-21   
 303 H Colgate                Patriot       (14- 4, 97.3)    14-24   
 309 A Ohio State             ECAC          ( 8- 7, 95.9)     9- 7   
 317 A Hobart                 ECAC          ( 4- 9, 92.9)    14-12   
 320 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 7, 96.8)    10-17   
 327 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 89.7)    15-11   
 331 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 1-13, 81.7)    22-10   
 407 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 4- 9, 90.9)    17-10   
 414 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 6- 9, 92.3)    17-14   
 421 H Quinnipiac             Northeast     ( 3-11, 88.7)    25- 9   
 428 H Bryant                 Northeast     (14- 4, 96.2)    13-12   
 504 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 6- 9, 92.3)    15-16  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Bellarmine              9- 8       1     0           0.37
   218 A UMBC                   10- 8       2     1           0.37
   225 N Air Force              17-14       3     0    +      2.26
   226 A Denver                  8-21     -13    -5    --    -4.57
   303 H Colgate                14-24     -10    -1    ---   -8.20
   309 A Ohio State              9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.71
   317 A Hobart                 14-12       2     0           1.72
   320 A Bucknell               10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.39
   327 H Canisius               15-11       4     5          -1.86
   331 A Wagner                 22-10      12    11           0.00
   407 A Sacred Heart           17-10       7     2    ++     4.73
   414 H Mount St. Mary's       17-14       3     3          -0.27
   421 H Quinnipiac             25- 9      16     6    +      3.15
   428 H Bryant                 13-12       1     0           1.64
   504 H Mount St. Mary's       15-16  o   -1     3    --    -4.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Colgate                14-24     -10    -1    ---   -8.20
   226 A Denver                  8-21     -13    -5    --    -4.57
   504 H Mount St. Mary's       15-16  o   -1     3    --    -4.27
   320 A Bucknell               10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Ohio State              9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.71
   407 A Sacred Heart           17-10       7     2    ++     4.73
   225 N Air Force              17-14       3     0    +      2.26
   421 H Quinnipiac             25- 9      16     6    +      3.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.34 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.06 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/