Conf = Northeast Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Andrew McMinnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.3386688 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Bellarmine ECAC ( 4- 8, 92.5) 9- 8 218 A UMBC America East ( 5- 8, 91.5) 10- 8 225 N Air Force ECAC ( 6- 7, 93.6) 17-14 226 A Denver ECAC ( 9- 7, 98.6) 8-21 303 H Colgate Patriot (14- 4, 97.3) 14-24 309 A Ohio State ECAC ( 8- 7, 95.9) 9- 7 317 A Hobart ECAC ( 4- 9, 92.9) 14-12 320 A Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 7, 96.8) 10-17 327 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 89.7) 15-11 331 A Wagner Northeast ( 1-13, 81.7) 22-10 407 A Sacred Heart Northeast ( 4- 9, 90.9) 17-10 414 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 6- 9, 92.3) 17-14 421 H Quinnipiac Northeast ( 3-11, 88.7) 25- 9 428 H Bryant Northeast (14- 4, 96.2) 13-12 504 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 6- 9, 92.3) 15-16 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A Bellarmine 9- 8 1 0 0.37 218 A UMBC 10- 8 2 1 0.37 225 N Air Force 17-14 3 0 + 2.26 226 A Denver 8-21 -13 -5 -- -4.57 303 H Colgate 14-24 -10 -1 --- -8.20 309 A Ohio State 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.71 317 A Hobart 14-12 2 0 1.72 320 A Bucknell 10-17 -7 -3 - -3.39 327 H Canisius 15-11 4 5 -1.86 331 A Wagner 22-10 12 11 0.00 407 A Sacred Heart 17-10 7 2 ++ 4.73 414 H Mount St. Mary's 17-14 3 3 -0.27 421 H Quinnipiac 25- 9 16 6 + 3.15 428 H Bryant 13-12 1 0 1.64 504 H Mount St. Mary's 15-16 o -1 3 -- -4.27UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Colgate 14-24 -10 -1 --- -8.20 226 A Denver 8-21 -13 -5 -- -4.57 504 H Mount St. Mary's 15-16 o -1 3 -- -4.27 320 A Bucknell 10-17 -7 -3 - -3.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Ohio State 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.71 407 A Sacred Heart 17-10 7 2 ++ 4.73 225 N Air Force 17-14 3 0 + 2.26 421 H Quinnipiac 25- 9 16 6 + 3.15/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.34 Local Power Rank........... 28 Local SOS Rating......... 83.06 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 45 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3