Conf = Empire 8 Region = North State = NY Nickname = Golden Flyers Coach = Rob RandallGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7392273 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Springfield Pilgrim (14- 4, 83.9) 7-15 303 N Geneseo SUNYAC ( 6- 8, 83.4) 8- 3 307 A Scranton Landmark ( 9- 7, 79.5) 9- 5 314 N Bowdoin NESCAC (14- 6, 84.4) 7-14 317 H Western New England Commonwealth (13- 5, 84.2) 11-12 321 H Clarkson Liberty ( 9- 6, 83.5) 10- 9 324 A Amherst NESCAC ( 9- 7, 83.6) 8-13 328 A Utica Empire 8 ( 8- 8, 76.7) 19- 7 404 H RIT Liberty (16- 3, 87.1) 11-12 o 407 A Ithaca Empire 8 (12- 6, 83.1) 5-11 411 H Alfred Empire 8 ( 4-11, 74.9) 11- 6 414 H Hartwick Empire 8 ( 7- 8, 76.0) 17- 5 417 A Cortland SUNYAC (21- 1, 89.2) 2- 9 421 A Stevens Empire 8 (17- 3, 87.0) 12-14 425 H St. John Fisher Empire 8 (11- 5, 83.0) 9- 8 428 A Elmira Empire 8 ( 3-10, 73.1) 21-10 502 A Ithaca Empire 8 (12- 6, 83.1) 11-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Springfield 7-15 -8 0 --- -7.81 303 N Geneseo 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.69 307 A Scranton 9- 5 4 2 1.68 314 N Bowdoin 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.37 317 H Western New England 11-12 -1 0 -0.50 321 H Clarkson 10- 9 1 0 0.82 324 A Amherst 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.17 328 A Utica 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.90 404 H RIT 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.37 407 A Ithaca 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.72 411 H Alfred 11- 6 5 8 - -3.75 414 H Hartwick 17- 5 12 7 + 2.30 417 A Cortland 2- 9 -7 -7 0.43 421 A Stevens 12-14 -2 -5 + 3.25 425 H St. John Fisher 9- 8 1 0 0.26 428 A Elmira 21-10 11 8 1.34 502 A Ithaca 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.72UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Springfield 7-15 -8 0 --- -7.81 314 N Bowdoin 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.37 407 A Ithaca 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.72 324 A Amherst 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.17 411 H Alfred 11- 6 5 8 - -3.75 502 A Ithaca 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.72OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 N Geneseo 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.69 328 A Utica 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.90 404 H RIT 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.37 414 H Hartwick 17- 5 12 7 + 2.30 421 A Stevens 12-14 -2 -5 + 3.25/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.74 Local Power Rank........... 37 Local SOS Rating......... 61.39 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 39 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 121 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 88 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7