Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Steve Beville           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2078094    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 A Widener                MAC Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 81.4)     9- 5   
 303 H Union                  Liberty       (13- 5, 85.7)     6- 4   
 310 N Gettysburg             Centennial    (11- 7, 84.1)    11- 4   
 317 H Stevenson              Capital       (18- 5, 88.2)    13- 9   
 320 N Middlebury             NESCAC        ( 4- 9, 83.7)    15- 5   
 323 A Ithaca                 Empire 8      (12- 6, 83.1)     9- 3   
 328 A RIT                    Liberty       (16- 3, 87.1)     8- 7   
 331 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (11- 7, 81.2)    14- 3   
 404 H Western New England    Commonwealth  (13- 5, 84.2)    16-11   
 407 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 5-10, 78.7)    11- 6   
 411 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 6- 8, 83.4)    15- 8   
 414 A Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 5-10, 78.9)    17- 3   
 417 H Nazareth               Empire 8      ( 8- 9, 82.7)     9- 2   
 421 A Clarkson               Liberty       ( 9- 6, 83.5)     8- 6   
 425 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 8- 6, 77.9)    10- 3   
 428 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 5- 8, 77.9)    16- 8   
 502 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 5-10, 78.7)    20- 3   
 505 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 6- 8, 83.4)     9- 2   
 512 H Stevens                Empire 8      (17- 3, 87.0)    10- 9   
 516 H Union                  Liberty       (13- 5, 85.7)     9- 4   
 520 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (18- 3, 88.2)    12-10   
 527 N Salisbury              Capital       (23- 0, 94.9)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Widener                 9- 5       4     6    -     -2.89
   303 H Union                   6- 4       2     4    -     -2.52
   310 N Gettysburg             11- 4       7     5           1.86
   317 H Stevenson              13- 9       4     2           1.99
   320 N Middlebury             15- 5      10     5    ++     4.47
   323 A Ithaca                  9- 3       6     5           0.81
   328 A RIT                     8- 7       1     1          -0.18
   331 H Plattsburgh            14- 3      11     8           1.02
   404 H Western New England    16-11       5     5          -0.97
   407 H Oneonta                11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   411 H Geneseo                15- 8       7     6           0.26
   414 A Brockport              17- 3      14     9           0.67
   417 H Nazareth                9- 2       7     7          -0.43
   421 A Clarkson                8- 6       2     4    -     -2.73
   425 A Oswego                 10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   428 A Potsdam                16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00
   502 H Oneonta                20- 3      17    11           0.00
   505 H Geneseo                 9- 2       7     6           0.26
   512 H Stevens                10- 9       1     3    -     -2.14
   516 H Union                   9- 4       5     4           0.48
   520 H Tufts                  12-10       2     1           0.03
   527 N Salisbury              10-14      -4    -5           1.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Oneonta                11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   225 A Widener                 9- 5       4     6    -     -2.89
   303 H Union                   6- 4       2     4    -     -2.52
   421 A Clarkson                8- 6       2     4    -     -2.73
   425 A Oswego                 10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   428 A Potsdam                16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00
   512 H Stevens                10- 9       1     3    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 N Middlebury             15- 5      10     5    ++     4.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.21 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.19 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 21- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
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