Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Raiders                Coach  = Mike Murphy             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.3343277    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 H Bryant                 Northeast     (14- 4, 96.2)    10- 8   
 218 H Vermont                America East  ( 2-12, 89.6)    10- 6   
 225 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 5- 9, 92.9)     6- 9   
 303 A Robert Morris          Northeast     (11- 4, 94.3)    24-14   
 306 H Hobart                 ECAC          ( 4- 9, 92.9)    18- 8   
 310 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 5-10, 89.6)    13- 9   
 313 A Binghamton             America East  ( 4- 9, 90.5)    17- 8   
 317 H Fairfield              ECAC          (12- 4, 95.2)    12- 6   
 324 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 6- 6, 94.3)    11-12   
 331 A Army                   Patriot       ( 7- 8, 94.7)    15-13   
 407 H Lehigh                 Patriot       (14- 3, 97.8)    11-10  o
 414 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 3-10, 90.3)    18- 7   
 420 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 7, 96.8)    11-10   
 427 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 7, 96.8)    14- 9   
 429 H Lehigh                 Patriot       (14- 3, 97.8)    14-16   
 505 H Maryland               ACC           (12- 6, 98.5)    13-11   
 512 A Massachusetts          Colonial      (15- 1, 99.9)    13-11   
 520 N Duke                   ACC           (15- 5, 97.9)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Bryant                 10- 8       2     2          -0.35
   218 H Vermont                10- 6       4     8    --    -4.94
   225 H Dartmouth               6- 9      -3     5    ---   -8.68
   303 A Robert Morris          24-14      10     1    +++    8.20
   306 H Hobart                 18- 8      10     5    ++     4.32
   310 A Holy Cross             13- 9       4     6    -     -2.55
   313 A Binghamton             17- 8       9     5    +      3.38
   317 H Fairfield              12- 6       6     3    +      2.65
   324 H Navy                   11-12      -1     4    --    -5.20
   331 A Army                   15-13       2     1           0.60
   407 H Lehigh                 11-10  o    1     0           0.31
   414 H Lafayette              18- 7      11     8           1.73
   420 A Bucknell               11-10       1     0           1.62
   427 H Bucknell               14- 9       5     1    +      3.22
   429 H Lehigh                 14-16      -2     0    -     -2.69
   505 H Maryland               13-11       2     0    +      2.01
   512 A Massachusetts          13-11       2    -3    ++     5.77
   520 N Duke                    6-17     -11     0    ---   -9.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Dartmouth               6- 9      -3     5    ---   -8.68
   520 N Duke                    6-17     -11     0    ---   -9.39
   218 H Vermont                10- 6       4     8    --    -4.94
   324 H Navy                   11-12      -1     4    --    -5.20
   310 A Holy Cross             13- 9       4     6    -     -2.55
   429 H Lehigh                 14-16      -2     0    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Robert Morris          24-14      10     1    +++    8.20
   306 H Hobart                 18- 8      10     5    ++     4.32
   512 A Massachusetts          13-11       2    -3    ++     5.77
   313 A Binghamton             17- 8       9     5    +      3.38
   317 H Fairfield              12- 6       6     3    +      2.65
   427 H Bucknell               14- 9       5     1    +      3.22
   505 H Maryland               13-11       2     0    +      2.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.33 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 87.64 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/