Conf = Patriot Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Raiders Coach = Mike MurphyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.3343277 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Bryant Northeast (14- 4, 96.2) 10- 8 218 H Vermont America East ( 2-12, 89.6) 10- 6 225 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 5- 9, 92.9) 6- 9 303 A Robert Morris Northeast (11- 4, 94.3) 24-14 306 H Hobart ECAC ( 4- 9, 92.9) 18- 8 310 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 5-10, 89.6) 13- 9 313 A Binghamton America East ( 4- 9, 90.5) 17- 8 317 H Fairfield ECAC (12- 4, 95.2) 12- 6 324 H Navy Patriot ( 6- 6, 94.3) 11-12 331 A Army Patriot ( 7- 8, 94.7) 15-13 407 H Lehigh Patriot (14- 3, 97.8) 11-10 o 414 H Lafayette Patriot ( 3-10, 90.3) 18- 7 420 A Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 7, 96.8) 11-10 427 H Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 7, 96.8) 14- 9 429 H Lehigh Patriot (14- 3, 97.8) 14-16 505 H Maryland ACC (12- 6, 98.5) 13-11 512 A Massachusetts Colonial (15- 1, 99.9) 13-11 520 N Duke ACC (15- 5, 97.9) 6-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Bryant 10- 8 2 2 -0.35 218 H Vermont 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.94 225 H Dartmouth 6- 9 -3 5 --- -8.68 303 A Robert Morris 24-14 10 1 +++ 8.20 306 H Hobart 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.32 310 A Holy Cross 13- 9 4 6 - -2.55 313 A Binghamton 17- 8 9 5 + 3.38 317 H Fairfield 12- 6 6 3 + 2.65 324 H Navy 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.20 331 A Army 15-13 2 1 0.60 407 H Lehigh 11-10 o 1 0 0.31 414 H Lafayette 18- 7 11 8 1.73 420 A Bucknell 11-10 1 0 1.62 427 H Bucknell 14- 9 5 1 + 3.22 429 H Lehigh 14-16 -2 0 - -2.69 505 H Maryland 13-11 2 0 + 2.01 512 A Massachusetts 13-11 2 -3 ++ 5.77 520 N Duke 6-17 -11 0 --- -9.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Dartmouth 6- 9 -3 5 --- -8.68 520 N Duke 6-17 -11 0 --- -9.39 218 H Vermont 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.94 324 H Navy 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.20 310 A Holy Cross 13- 9 4 6 - -2.55 429 H Lehigh 14-16 -2 0 - -2.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Robert Morris 24-14 10 1 +++ 8.20 306 H Hobart 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.32 512 A Massachusetts 13-11 2 -3 ++ 5.77 313 A Binghamton 17- 8 9 5 + 3.38 317 H Fairfield 12- 6 6 3 + 2.65 427 H Bucknell 14- 9 5 1 + 3.22 505 H Maryland 13-11 2 0 + 2.01/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.33 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 87.64 Local SOS Rank............. 20 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 6 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3