mens probabilites for 1
2011 NCAA Division Men's I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Virginia ACC 13 5 2 1 2 2 1 2 5 15.00
2 Syracuse Big East 15 2 5 3 1 1 4 1 6 11.00
3 Duke ACC 14 6 8 10 5 7 2 4 13 5.00
4 Maryland ACC 13 5 4 5 3 8 3 3 14 16.00
5 Denver ECAC 15 3 7 17 6 6 5 5 16 4.00
6 Johns Hopkins Independent 13 3 3 9 7 4 6 6 16 5.00
7 Cornell Ivy League 14 3 1 8 4 3 8 7 18 26.00
8 Notre Dame Big East 11 3 6 6 8 5 10 8 23 4.00
9 North Carolina ACC 10 6 10 4 10 10 11 11 32 1.00
10 Villanova Big East 11 5 13 18 12 11 16 12 39 0.10
11 Penn Ivy League 8 7 19 7 16 15 9 17 41 0.10
12 Bucknell Patriot 14 3 11 31 9 9 25 9 43 1.00
13 Delaware Colonial 11 7 34 32 20 17 7 21 45 0.10
14 Hofstra Colonial 13 3 12 36 11 12 28 10 50 0.10
15 Army Patriot 9 6 16 37 18 27 17 14 58 1.00
16 Colgate Patriot 11 5 20 24 15 14 26 18 58 1.00
17 Georgetown Big East 7 7 18 12 22 20 15 23 58 0.10
18 Harvard Ivy League 10 6 17 23 19 18 22 19 59 0.10
19 Princeton Ivy League 4 8 21 2 26 21 12 29 62 1.00
20 Stony Brook America East 10 4 9 29 17 13 33 16 62 1.00
21 Penn State Colonial 7 7 26 19 31 22 19 28 69 0.10
22 Loyola ECAC 8 5 23 16 21 16 36 20 72 2.00
23 Fairfield ECAC 8 8 27 22 32 23 18 32 73 1.00
24 Hartford America East 11 7 28 40 25 24 24 25 73 0.10
25 Ohio State ECAC 8 8 22 28 30 29 20 26 75 1.00
26 Drexel Colonial 8 6 15 26 24 26 29 22 77 2.00
27 Massachusetts Colonial 10 5 24 34 23 19 34 24 77 0.10
28 Hobart ECAC 5 9 40 13 40 31 14 36 81 0.10
29 Yale Ivy League 10 4 14 42 13 25 46 13 84 0.10
30 Albany America East 5 10 41 11 45 28 13 44 85 0.10
31 Siena Metro Atlantic 13 5 31 55 14 30 43 15 88 0.10
32 Binghamton America East 7 8 39 30 33 32 32 34 98 0.10
33 St. John's Big East 4 10 42 20 42 38 21 45 104 0.10
34 UMBC America East 6 7 46 25 29 33 41 31 105 0.10
35 Lehigh Patriot 7 9 30 38 38 39 27 40 106 0.10
36 Brown Ivy League 6 8 36 27 34 35 37 35 107 0.10
37 Dartmouth Ivy League 5 9 44 35 37 41 30 37 108 0.10
38 Towson Colonial 3 10 29 14 47 40 23 46 109 1.00
39 Navy Patriot 4 9 33 21 39 44 31 39 114 0.10
40 Vermont America East 6 9 32 33 44 36 38 43 117 0.10
41 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 9 6 35 47 27 34 54 30 118 0.10
42 Robert Morris Northeast 9 6 25 56 28 37 55 27 119 1.00
43 Air Force ECAC 6 7 43 52 35 43 50 33 126 0.10
44 Rutgers Big East 6 9 38 45 43 46 45 42 133 0.10
45 Quinnipiac Northeast 7 7 45 51 41 42 51 41 134 0.10
46 Bryant Northeast 8 9 37 48 46 45 47 48 140 0.10
47 Jacksonville Metro Atlantic 5 10 50 50 50 49 42 50 141 0.10
48 Providence Big East 3 12 54 39 54 52 35 54 141 0.10
49 Bellarmine ECAC 4 11 49 46 53 51 39 53 143 0.10
50 Detroit Metro Atlantic 6 10 48 54 51 48 44 51 143 0.10
51 Marist Metro Atlantic 8 7 47 60 36 47 58 38 143 0.10
52 Canisius Metro Atlantic 3 9 52 41 48 50 48 47 145 0.10
53 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 13 55 53 57 54 40 57 151 0.10
54 Sacred Heart Northeast 4 9 53 57 49 53 53 49 155 0.10
55 Saint Joseph's Colonial 0 12 57 15 58 55 49 58 162 0.10
56 Lafayette Patriot 2 11 51 44 55 56 52 55 163 0.10
57 Presbyterian Independent 2 10 59 58 52 58 59 52 169 0.10
58 Holy Cross Patriot 2 13 56 43 60 57 56 59 172 0.10
59 VMI Metro Atlantic 2 11 58 61 56 59 60 56 175 0.10
60 Wagner Northeast 0 12 60 49 61 60 57 61 178 0.10
61 Mercer Independent 1 12 61 59 59 61 61 60 182 0.10
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