Williams                      2 -11


 
   Conf = NESCAC                     Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Ephmen                 Coach  = George McCormack        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.4060516    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Colby                  NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 85.4)     5- 6  o
 319 H Bates                  NESCAC        ( 4- 9, 83.0)     6- 5   
 323 A Skidmore               Liberty       (11- 4, 86.8)     6-10   
 326 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (18- 3, 90.1)     6-12   
 329 H Endicott               Commonwealth  (16- 5, 89.2)     6-12   
 402 A Trinity                NESCAC        (12- 4, 86.4)     8-12   
 406 A Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 6-10, 84.7)     2-11   
 409 H Amherst                NESCAC        (15- 3, 88.0)     8-11   
 413 H Union                  Liberty       (13- 5, 87.4)     7-10   
 416 A Wesleyan               NESCAC        (10- 5, 86.0)     3- 4   
 420 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (10- 6, 85.2)    18- 9   
 423 H Bowdoin                NESCAC        ( 8- 7, 88.5)     7- 8   
 429 A Middlebury             NESCAC        (13- 5, 88.7)     9-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Colby                   5- 6  o   -1    -2           1.30
   319 H Bates                   6- 5       1     2          -1.70
   323 A Skidmore                6-10      -4    -3          -0.22
   326 H Tufts                   6-12      -6    -4          -1.63
   329 H Endicott                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.51
   402 A Trinity                 8-12      -4    -3          -0.63
   406 A Connecticut College     2-11      -9    -1    ---   -7.34
   409 H Amherst                 8-11      -3    -2          -0.74
   413 H Union                   7-10      -3    -1          -1.32
   416 A Wesleyan                3- 4      -1    -2           1.92
   420 H Plattsburgh            18- 9       9     0    +++    8.42
   423 H Bowdoin                 7- 8      -1    -2           1.78
   429 A Middlebury              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.68


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Connecticut College     2-11      -9    -1    ---   -7.34
   329 H Endicott                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.51


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Plattsburgh            18- 9       9     0    +++    8.42
   429 A Middlebury              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.68




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.41 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.45 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    87
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   176
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   123
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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