Conf = Little East Region = North State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jason OuelletGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.3426819 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Maritime Skyline ( 7- 9, 76.1) 11- 4 305 A Skidmore Liberty (11- 4, 86.8) 8-12 312 A Kean Skyline ( 8- 7, 78.4) 6- 8 313 H Castleton North Atlanti (12- 7, 77.1) 9- 8 316 H Trinity NESCAC (12- 4, 86.4) 4-12 319 A Lasell Great Northea ( 9- 8, 76.5) 8- 4 322 A Ferrum Independent ( 6- 8, 73.1) 10- 4 326 A Mount Ida Great Northea (11- 7, 74.3) 7- 6 402 H Plymouth State Little East ( 7- 8, 77.8) 2- 5 409 H Keene State Little East (14- 3, 86.5) 8-11 416 A UMass Boston Little East ( 5-11, 68.3) 14- 3 419 A Salem State Little East ( 6- 9, 74.3) 8- 6 423 H UMass Dartmouth Little East (13- 4, 79.2) 10- 9 o 427 H Eastern Connecticut Little East (12- 6, 84.2) 8-11 501 A Southern Maine Little East ( 5-11, 76.2) 10- 9 2o 503 H Southern Maine Little East ( 5-11, 76.2) 10- 3 505 A Keene State Little East (14- 3, 86.5) 6-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Maritime 11- 4 7 1 ++ 5.07 305 A Skidmore 8-12 -4 -8 ++ 4.84 312 A Kean 6- 8 -2 0 -1.60 313 H Castleton 9- 8 1 3 - -2.59 316 H Trinity 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.24 319 A Lasell 8- 4 4 1 + 2.53 322 A Ferrum 10- 4 6 4 1.11 326 A Mount Ida 7- 6 1 3 - -2.70 402 H Plymouth State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.91 409 H Keene State 8-11 -3 -5 + 2.78 416 A UMass Boston 14- 3 11 9 0.25 419 A Salem State 8- 6 2 3 -1.75 423 H UMass Dartmouth 10- 9 o 1 1 -0.45 427 H Eastern Connecticut 8-11 -3 -3 0.56 501 A Southern Maine 10- 9 2o 1 1 -0.84 503 H Southern Maine 10- 3 7 4 + 2.48 505 A Keene State 6-17 -11 -8 -1.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Plymouth State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.91 313 H Castleton 9- 8 1 3 - -2.59 316 H Trinity 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.24 326 A Mount Ida 7- 6 1 3 - -2.70OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Maritime 11- 4 7 1 ++ 5.07 305 A Skidmore 8-12 -4 -8 ++ 4.84 319 A Lasell 8- 4 4 1 + 2.53 409 H Keene State 8-11 -3 -5 + 2.78 503 H Southern Maine 10- 3 7 4 + 2.48/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.34 Local Power Rank........... 80 Local SOS Rating......... 55.41 Local SOS Rank............. 84 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 170 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 80 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0