Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.0996399 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 H Robert Morris Northeast ( 9- 6, 95.3) 14-11 219 A Ohio State ECAC ( 8- 8, 95.6) 8-13 225 H Navy Patriot ( 4- 9, 94.1) 10- 8 305 H UMBC America East ( 6- 7, 92.0) 13- 9 308 H Penn Ivy League ( 8- 7, 95.6) 12- 6 311 A Princeton Ivy League ( 4- 8, 95.6) 9- 5 317 H Duke ACC (14- 6, 97.7) 9-14 322 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 5- 9, 92.4) 12- 7 326 A Maryland ACC (13- 5, 99.2) 11- 6 403 N Johns Hopkins Independent (13- 3, 99.2) 9-10 409 A Virginia ACC (13- 5, 99.5) 10-11 o 414 H Presbyterian Independent ( 2-10, 84.5) 15- 5 417 A Lehigh Patriot ( 7- 9, 94.3) 15- 8 422 N Maryland ACC (13- 5, 99.2) 6- 7 506 H Notre Dame Big East (11- 3, 98.5) 9- 8 o 515 H Maryland ACC (13- 5, 99.2) 6-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H Robert Morris 14-11 3 3 -0.16 219 A Ohio State 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.23 225 H Navy 10- 8 2 4 - -2.27 305 H UMBC 13- 9 4 6 - -2.44 308 H Penn 12- 6 6 2 + 3.22 311 A Princeton 9- 5 4 0 + 3.83 317 H Duke 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.68 322 H Dartmouth 12- 7 5 5 -0.97 326 A Maryland 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.37 403 N Johns Hopkins 9-10 -1 -2 1.14 409 A Virginia 10-11 o -1 -3 + 2.74 414 H Presbyterian 15- 5 10 13 0.00 417 A Lehigh 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.51 422 N Maryland 6- 7 -1 -2 1.05 506 H Notre Dame 9- 8 o 1 0 1.09 515 H Maryland 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.26UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H Maryland 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.26 219 A Ohio State 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.23 317 H Duke 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.68 225 H Navy 10- 8 2 4 - -2.27 305 H UMBC 13- 9 4 6 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Maryland 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.37 417 A Lehigh 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.51 308 H Penn 12- 6 6 2 + 3.22 311 A Princeton 9- 5 4 0 + 3.83 409 A Virginia 10-11 o -1 -3 + 2.74/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.10 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 89.95 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3