Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.0996399    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 H Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 9- 6, 95.3)    14-11   
 219 A Ohio State             ECAC          ( 8- 8, 95.6)     8-13   
 225 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 4- 9, 94.1)    10- 8   
 305 H UMBC                   America East  ( 6- 7, 92.0)    13- 9   
 308 H Penn                   Ivy League    ( 8- 7, 95.6)    12- 6   
 311 A Princeton              Ivy League    ( 4- 8, 95.6)     9- 5   
 317 H Duke                   ACC           (14- 6, 97.7)     9-14   
 322 H Dartmouth              Ivy League    ( 5- 9, 92.4)    12- 7   
 326 A Maryland               ACC           (13- 5, 99.2)    11- 6   
 403 N Johns Hopkins          Independent   (13- 3, 99.2)     9-10   
 409 A Virginia               ACC           (13- 5, 99.5)    10-11  o
 414 H Presbyterian           Independent   ( 2-10, 84.5)    15- 5   
 417 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 7- 9, 94.3)    15- 8   
 422 N Maryland               ACC           (13- 5, 99.2)     6- 7   
 506 H Notre Dame             Big East      (11- 3, 98.5)     9- 8  o
 515 H Maryland               ACC           (13- 5, 99.2)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H Robert Morris          14-11       3     3          -0.16
   219 A Ohio State              8-13      -5     0    --    -5.23
   225 H Navy                   10- 8       2     4    -     -2.27
   305 H UMBC                   13- 9       4     6    -     -2.44
   308 H Penn                   12- 6       6     2    +      3.22
   311 A Princeton               9- 5       4     0    +      3.83
   317 H Duke                    9-14      -5     0    --    -5.68
   322 H Dartmouth              12- 7       5     5          -0.97
   326 A Maryland               11- 6       5    -3    +++    8.37
   403 N Johns Hopkins           9-10      -1    -2           1.14
   409 A Virginia               10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.74
   414 H Presbyterian           15- 5      10    13           0.00
   417 A Lehigh                 15- 8       7     1    ++     5.51
   422 N Maryland                6- 7      -1    -2           1.05
   506 H Notre Dame              9- 8  o    1     0           1.09
   515 H Maryland                6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Maryland                6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.26
   219 A Ohio State              8-13      -5     0    --    -5.23
   317 H Duke                    9-14      -5     0    --    -5.68
   225 H Navy                   10- 8       2     4    -     -2.27
   305 H UMBC                   13- 9       4     6    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Maryland               11- 6       5    -3    +++    8.37
   417 A Lehigh                 15- 8       7     1    ++     5.51
   308 H Penn                   12- 6       6     2    +      3.22
   311 A Princeton               9- 5       4     0    +      3.83
   409 A Virginia               10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.10 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 89.95 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/