GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.1530304 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 219 H Detroit Metro Atlanti ( 6-10, 91.3) 16- 4 226 H Georgetown Big East ( 7- 7, 95.7) 20- 8 305 A Duke ACC (14- 6, 97.7) 8- 9 o 307 H Bellarmine ECAC ( 4-11, 91.2) 12- 8 312 A Towson Colonial ( 3-10, 94.5) 8- 4 318 H UMBC America East ( 6- 7, 92.0) 15- 6 320 H Saint Joseph's Colonial ( 0-12, 87.0) 11- 4 326 H North Carolina ACC (10- 6, 97.1) 6-11 402 A Virginia ACC (13- 5, 99.5) 12- 7 408 A Navy Patriot ( 4- 9, 94.1) 10- 4 416 H Johns Hopkins Independent (13- 3, 99.2) 11-12 o 422 N North Carolina ACC (10- 6, 97.1) 7- 6 424 A Duke ACC (14- 6, 97.7) 11- 9 507 H Colgate Patriot (11- 5, 95.6) 8-10 515 A North Carolina ACC (10- 6, 97.1) 13- 6 522 N Syracuse Big East (15- 2, 99.1) 6- 5 o 528 N Duke ACC (14- 6, 97.7) 9- 4 530 N Virginia ACC (13- 5, 99.5) 7- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H Detroit 16- 4 12 9 0.84 226 H Georgetown 20- 8 12 4 ++ 5.26 305 A Duke 8- 9 o -1 0 -1.11 307 H Bellarmine 12- 8 4 9 -- -5.26 312 A Towson 8- 4 4 3 0.68 318 H UMBC 15- 6 9 8 0.51 320 H Saint Joseph's 11- 4 7 13 - -3.00 326 H North Carolina 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.37 402 A Virginia 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.69 408 A Navy 10- 4 6 3 + 2.30 416 H Johns Hopkins 11-12 o -1 1 - -2.23 422 N North Carolina 7- 6 1 2 -1.05 424 A Duke 11- 9 2 0 1.89 507 H Colgate 8-10 -2 4 --- -6.85 515 A North Carolina 13- 6 7 0 +++ 6.26 522 N Syracuse 6- 5 o 1 0 0.98 528 N Duke 9- 4 5 1 + 3.58 530 N Virginia 7- 9 -2 0 -1.62UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 99.15 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 89.90 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 16.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3