Conf = Northeast Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Bear DavisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.2536926 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 A North Carolina ACC (10- 6, 97.1) 11-14 219 H Hobart ECAC ( 5- 9, 92.8) 8- 9 226 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 3-13, 89.0) 9- 7 301 A Colgate Patriot (11- 5, 95.6) 12-14 309 A Jacksonville Metro Atlanti ( 5-10, 91.2) 11- 7 313 A Detroit Metro Atlanti ( 6-10, 91.3) 14-13 o 319 H Bellarmine ECAC ( 4-11, 91.2) 18-10 322 N Bucknell Patriot (14- 3, 97.1) 7- 5 402 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 9- 6, 93.7) 11-12 409 A Quinnipiac Northeast ( 7- 7, 92.4) 15-19 413 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 3- 9, 90.1) 14- 5 416 H Wagner Northeast ( 0-12, 82.7) 23- 9 423 A Bryant Northeast ( 8- 9, 93.4) 16-15 430 H Sacred Heart Northeast ( 4- 9, 90.0) 27-11 506 N Quinnipiac Northeast ( 7- 7, 92.4) 11-12 2oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A North Carolina 11-14 -3 -3 0.16 219 H Hobart 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.78 226 H Manhattan 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.52 301 A Colgate 12-14 -2 -1 -0.32 309 A Jacksonville 11- 7 4 2 1.25 313 A Detroit 14-13 o 1 2 -1.64 319 H Bellarmine 18-10 8 5 + 2.64 322 N Bucknell 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.80 402 A Mount St. Mary's 11-12 -1 0 -1.24 409 A Quinnipiac 15-19 -4 1 -- -5.58 413 A Canisius 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.11 416 H Wagner 23- 9 14 13 0.00 423 A Bryant 16-15 1 0 0.49 430 H Sacred Heart 27-11 16 6 + 3.41 506 N Quinnipiac 11-12 2o -1 2 - -3.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H Hobart 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.78 226 H Manhattan 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.52 409 A Quinnipiac 15-19 -4 1 -- -5.58 506 N Quinnipiac 11-12 2o -1 2 - -3.89OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A Canisius 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.11 319 H Bellarmine 18-10 8 5 + 2.64 322 N Bucknell 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.80 430 H Sacred Heart 27-11 16 6 + 3.41/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.25 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 81.37 Local SOS Rank............. 56 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 18 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 28 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3