Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Bear Davis              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2536926    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 A North Carolina         ACC           (10- 6, 97.1)    11-14   
 219 H Hobart                 ECAC          ( 5- 9, 92.8)     8- 9   
 226 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 3-13, 89.0)     9- 7   
 301 A Colgate                Patriot       (11- 5, 95.6)    12-14   
 309 A Jacksonville           Metro Atlanti ( 5-10, 91.2)    11- 7   
 313 A Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 6-10, 91.3)    14-13  o
 319 H Bellarmine             ECAC          ( 4-11, 91.2)    18-10   
 322 N Bucknell               Patriot       (14- 3, 97.1)     7- 5   
 402 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 9- 6, 93.7)    11-12   
 409 A Quinnipiac             Northeast     ( 7- 7, 92.4)    15-19   
 413 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 3- 9, 90.1)    14- 5   
 416 H Wagner                 Northeast     ( 0-12, 82.7)    23- 9   
 423 A Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8- 9, 93.4)    16-15   
 430 H Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 4- 9, 90.0)    27-11   
 506 N Quinnipiac             Northeast     ( 7- 7, 92.4)    11-12 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A North Carolina         11-14      -3    -3           0.16
   219 H Hobart                  8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.78
   226 H Manhattan               9- 7       2     7    --    -5.52
   301 A Colgate                12-14      -2    -1          -0.32
   309 A Jacksonville           11- 7       4     2           1.25
   313 A Detroit                14-13  o    1     2          -1.64
   319 H Bellarmine             18-10       8     5    +      2.64
   322 N Bucknell                7- 5       2    -1    +      3.80
   402 A Mount St. Mary's       11-12      -1     0          -1.24
   409 A Quinnipiac             15-19      -4     1    --    -5.58
   413 A Canisius               14- 5       9     3    ++     5.11
   416 H Wagner                 23- 9      14    13           0.00
   423 A Bryant                 16-15       1     0           0.49
   430 H Sacred Heart           27-11      16     6    +      3.41
   506 N Quinnipiac             11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Hobart                  8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.78
   226 H Manhattan               9- 7       2     7    --    -5.52
   409 A Quinnipiac             15-19      -4     1    --    -5.58
   506 N Quinnipiac             11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Canisius               14- 5       9     3    ++     5.11
   319 H Bellarmine             18-10       8     5    +      2.64
   322 N Bucknell                7- 5       2    -1    +      3.80
   430 H Sacred Heart           27-11      16     6    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.25 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.37 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/