Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Peter Milliman          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.3945007    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 A Lenoir-Rhyne           Deep South    ( 4-10, 74.6)    19- 9   
 223 A Catawba                Deep South    (12- 4, 81.6)     6- 8   
 227 H Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 6- 8, 76.7)    19- 3   
 304 H Lake Erie              East Coast    ( 7- 7, 78.7)    18- 1   
 306 A Florida Southern       Deep South    ( 8- 7, 80.9)    12- 4   
 308 N Notre Dame de Namur    WILA          ( 7- 8, 77.4)    11- 7   
 312 H St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 8- 8, 77.1)    17- 8   
 316 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 5- 7, 80.3)    11- 4   
 319 A Wingate                Deep South    ( 7- 8, 81.5)    10- 8   
 323 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  (11- 6, 85.4)     8-11   
 326 A Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 8- 5, 80.7)     3- 4 7o
 403 H Rollins                Deep South    ( 2-11, 74.0)    18- 9   
 409 H Limestone              Carolinas     (15- 2, 91.9)     4- 9   
 415 A Queens U. of Charlotte Carolinas     ( 8- 5, 80.7)     8- 5   
 417 N Limestone              Carolinas     (15- 2, 91.9)     5-10   
 423 A Mars Hill              Deep South    (11- 4, 85.6)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Lenoir-Rhyne           19- 9      10    10           0.00
   223 A Catawba                 6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.63
   227 H Saint Leo              19- 3      16     8           1.12
   304 H Lake Erie              18- 1      17     6    +      3.06
   306 A Florida Southern       12- 4       8     4    +      3.68
   308 N Notre Dame de Namur    11- 7       4     7    -     -3.96
   312 H St. Andrews            17- 8       9     8           0.47
   316 A Belmont Abbey          11- 4       7     4    +      2.10
   319 A Wingate                10- 8       2     3          -1.65
   323 H Merrimack               8-11      -3     0    -     -3.22
   326 A Queens U. of Charlotte  3- 4 7o   -1     4    --    -5.51
   403 H Rollins                18- 9       9    11          -1.00
   409 H Limestone               4- 9      -5    -6           1.30
   415 A Queens U. of Charlotte  8- 5       3     4          -1.51
   417 N Limestone               5-10      -5    -6           1.51
   423 A Mars Hill               8-10      -2     0          -1.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Catawba                 6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.63
   326 A Queens U. of Charlotte  3- 4 7o   -1     4    --    -5.51
   308 N Notre Dame de Namur    11- 7       4     7    -     -3.96
   323 H Merrimack               8-11      -3     0    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Lake Erie              18- 1      17     6    +      3.06
   306 A Florida Southern       12- 4       8     4    +      3.68
   316 A Belmont Abbey          11- 4       7     4    +      2.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.39 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.83 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/