Conf = Middle Atlantic            Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Cougars                Coach  = Jim Ricardo             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.4700928    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 N Medaille               NEAC          ( 5-10, 74.1)    16-12   
 309 N Alfred                 Empire 8      (10- 6, 79.6)    13-19   
 313 A Mt. St. Vincent        Skyline       ( 6- 8, 68.2)    12- 8   
 316 H Mount Saint Mary       Skyline       ( 2-13, 61.2)    19- 3   
 319 A Penn State Abington    NEAC          ( 0-15, 55.9)    16- 2   
 326 A DeSales                Middle Atlant ( 3-12, 73.0)     6- 7 2o
 328 H Manhattanville         Middle Atlant ( 3-13, 72.8)     8- 3   
 330 H Lebanon Valley         Middle Atlant ( 6-10, 75.0)     9- 7   
 403 A Widener                Middle Atlant (15- 3, 84.5)     5-24   
 406 H King's                 Middle Atlant ( 6-10, 74.6)     7- 8   
 409 H Alvernia               Middle Atlant ( 2-14, 65.1)    14- 3   
 413 A Lycoming               Middle Atlant ( 9- 8, 78.0)     3-16   
 416 H Messiah                Middle Atlant (12- 5, 81.3)     4-21   
 421 H Eastern                Middle Atlant (10- 6, 81.6)     4-13   
 426 A Fairleigh Dickinson    Middle Atlant (11- 7, 77.7)     6-14   
 430 A Elizabethtown          Middle Atlant ( 9- 7, 81.2)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 N Medaille               16-12       4    -1    ++     5.59
   309 N Alfred                 13-19      -6    -7           1.11
   313 A Mt. St. Vincent        12- 8       4     2           1.07
   316 H Mount Saint Mary       19- 3      16    12           0.00
   319 A Penn State Abington    16- 2      14    15           0.00
   326 A DeSales                 6- 7 2o   -1    -1           0.84
   328 H Manhattanville          8- 3       5     1    +      3.96
   330 H Lebanon Valley          9- 7       2    -1    +      3.23
   403 A Widener                 5-24     -19   -13           0.00
   406 H King's                  7- 8      -1     0          -0.24
   409 H Alvernia               14- 3      11     8           1.25
   413 A Lycoming                3-16     -13    -6    -     -3.18
   416 H Messiah                 4-21     -17    -7    -     -2.51
   421 H Eastern                 4-13      -9    -7          -1.22
   426 A Fairleigh Dickinson     6-14      -8    -6          -1.44
   430 A Elizabethtown           9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Lycoming                3-16     -13    -6    -     -3.18
   416 H Messiah                 4-21     -17    -7    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 N Medaille               16-12       4    -1    ++     5.59
   430 A Elizabethtown           9-15      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   328 H Manhattanville          8- 3       5     1    +      3.96
   330 H Lebanon Valley          9- 7       2    -1    +      3.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.47 Local Power Rank...........   133
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.99 Local SOS Rank.............   129
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   134
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   102
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   127
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
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