Conf = Middle Atlantic            Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Todd Hodgson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.9554291    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 H Dickinson              Centennial    (17- 2, 87.5)     6-13   
 226 A Maritime               Skyline       ( 7- 9, 76.1)    11-10  o
 302 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 7- 7, 85.1)     4-14   
 310 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      ( 9- 8, 86.3)     5-11   
 317 A Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 5- 8, 78.1)    11-15   
 326 H Widener                Middle Atlant (15- 3, 84.5)     1- 9   
 330 A King's                 Middle Atlant ( 6-10, 74.6)     8- 7   
 402 H Alvernia               Middle Atlant ( 2-14, 65.1)     8- 2   
 406 H Lebanon Valley         Middle Atlant ( 6-10, 75.0)     9- 8   
 409 A Manhattanville         Middle Atlant ( 3-13, 72.8)    15- 9   
 413 H Misericordia           Middle Atlant ( 7- 9, 72.5)    16- 3   
 416 A Eastern                Middle Atlant (10- 6, 81.6)     8- 9  o
 419 A DeSales                Middle Atlant ( 3-12, 73.0)     6- 3   
 421 N Elizabethtown          Middle Atlant ( 9- 7, 81.2)     7- 6 2o
 426 H Messiah                Middle Atlant (12- 5, 81.3)    14-10   
 430 H Fairleigh Dickinson    Middle Atlant (11- 7, 77.7)     5- 6   
 502 A Fairleigh Dickinson    Middle Atlant (11- 7, 77.7)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Dickinson               6-13      -7    -8           1.20
   226 A Maritime               11-10  o    1     0           0.46
   302 H Geneseo                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.21
   310 H Ithaca                  5-11      -6    -7           1.06
   317 A Elmira                 11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.54
   326 H Widener                 1- 9      -8    -5    -     -2.81
   330 A King's                  8- 7       1     2          -1.05
   402 H Alvernia                8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   406 H Lebanon Valley          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.25
   409 A Manhattanville         15- 9       6     3    +      2.14
   413 H Misericordia           16- 3      13     6    +      3.18
   416 A Eastern                 8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.97
   419 A DeSales                 6- 3       3     3          -0.64
   421 N Elizabethtown           7- 6 2o    1    -3    ++     4.24
   426 H Messiah                14-10       4    -2    +++    6.01
   430 H Fairleigh Dickinson     5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.59
   502 A Fairleigh Dickinson     7- 8      -1    -1           0.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Geneseo                 4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.21
   402 H Alvernia                8- 2       6    14    --    -4.00
   317 A Elmira                 11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.54
   326 H Widener                 1- 9      -8    -5    -     -2.81
   406 H Lebanon Valley          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.25
   430 H Fairleigh Dickinson     5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Messiah                14-10       4    -2    +++    6.01
   421 N Elizabethtown           7- 6 2o    1    -3    ++     4.24
   409 A Manhattanville         15- 9       6     3    +      2.14
   413 H Misericordia           16- 3      13     6    +      3.18
   416 A Eastern                 8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.96 Local Power Rank...........    92
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.67 Local SOS Rank.............    88
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    89
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    86
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    96
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
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