Conf = WILA                       Region = Central      State = CA
   Nickname = Penguins               Coach  = Ned Webster             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0862122    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 H Adams State            WILA          ( 2-12, 71.0)    12-11   
 307 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 5- 7, 80.3)    10-13   
 308 A Lenoir-Rhyne           Deep South    ( 4-10, 74.6)     3- 6   
 310 A St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 8- 8, 77.1)     8-12   
 314 H Adelphi                Northeast 10  (16- 3, 85.9)    10-17   
 318 H Rollins                Deep South    ( 2-11, 74.0)     6- 7   
 320 H Mesa State             WILA          ( 6- 8, 72.6)    11- 6   
 326 N Grand Canyon           WILA          ( 4-10, 71.8)    12-11  o
 401 A Mesa State             WILA          ( 6- 8, 72.6)     5- 6   
 403 A Adams State            WILA          ( 2-12, 71.0)    13- 6   
 409 A Notre Dame de Namur    WILA          ( 7- 8, 77.4)    10-12   
 416 A Grand Canyon           WILA          ( 4-10, 71.8)    11-12   
 430 N Notre Dame de Namur    WILA          ( 7- 8, 77.4)     9- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Adams State            12-11       1     4    -     -3.33
   307 A Belmont Abbey          10-13      -3    -5    +      2.41
   308 A Lenoir-Rhyne            3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.27
   310 A St. Andrews             8-12      -4    -2          -1.82
   314 H Adelphi                10-17      -7   -10    +      3.00
   318 H Rollins                 6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.28
   320 H Mesa State             11- 6       5     2    +      2.35
   326 N Grand Canyon           12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.27
   401 A Mesa State              5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.25
   403 A Adams State            13- 6       7     3    +      3.07
   409 A Notre Dame de Namur    10-12      -2    -2           0.54
   416 A Grand Canyon           11-12      -1     3    --    -4.07
   430 N Notre Dame de Namur     9- 3       6    -2    +++    8.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Grand Canyon           11-12      -1     3    --    -4.07
   224 H Adams State            12-11       1     4    -     -3.33
   308 A Lenoir-Rhyne            3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.27
   318 H Rollins                 6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.28
   326 N Grand Canyon           12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.27
   401 A Mesa State              5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 N Notre Dame de Namur     9- 3       6    -2    +++    8.34
   307 A Belmont Abbey          10-13      -3    -5    +      2.41
   314 H Adelphi                10-17      -7   -10    +      3.00
   320 H Mesa State             11- 6       5     2    +      2.35
   403 A Adams State            13- 6       7     3    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.09 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.32 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
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