2010 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 21 2 4 9 1 3 1 1 5 16.00 2 Stevenson Capital 19 2 1 6 2 1 2 3 6 39.00 3 Tufts NESCAC 20 1 6 8 3 2 9 2 13 0.10 4 Cortland SUNYAC 17 3 2 12 4 4 7 5 16 18.00 5 Gettysburg Centennial 15 3 5 4 6 5 8 4 17 5.00 6 Roanoke Old Dominion 18 3 3 15 5 6 6 6 18 13.00 7 Haverford Centennial 12 6 10 3 17 9 3 11 23 0.10 8 Middlebury NESCAC 13 6 7 2 23 7 4 14 25 1.00 9 RIT Empire 8 14 6 9 21 13 15 5 15 35 3.00 10 Dickinson Centennial 15 3 16 11 7 8 22 7 37 0.10 11 Lynchburg Old Dominion 13 5 11 31 12 16 10 13 39 2.00 12 Cabrini CSAC 15 4 8 50 8 10 29 8 47 2.00 13 Rensselaer Liberty 14 3 18 37 11 12 31 12 55 0.10 14 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 14 3 17 23 9 11 44 9 64 0.10 15 Geneseo SUNYAC 10 4 14 17 14 13 36 17 66 0.10 16 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 10 4 15 45 21 14 30 22 66 0.10 17 Nazareth Empire 8 12 5 13 28 20 18 25 24 67 1.00 18 Skidmore Liberty 9 6 22 27 42 22 16 30 68 0.10 19 Denison North Coast 10 4 12 49 16 20 34 16 70 0.10 20 St. Mary's Capital 10 6 21 18 22 28 19 23 70 0.10 21 Western New Engl Commonwealth 12 6 41 63 27 24 20 26 70 0.10 22 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 13 5 26 41 15 27 32 19 78 0.10 23 Montclair State Skyline 15 4 42 77 24 21 37 20 78 0.10 24 Bowdoin NESCAC 9 7 20 7 45 17 23 45 85 0.10 25 Goucher Landmark 14 4 40 57 18 19 53 18 90 0.10 26 Stevens Empire 8 9 6 24 26 43 26 17 48 91 0.10 27 Springfield Pilgrim 13 6 36 60 30 23 38 38 99 0.10 28 Endicott Commonwealth 14 8 39 58 50 29 21 50 100 0.10 29 Eastern Connecti Little East 12 5 66 64 35 25 45 33 103 0.10 30 Wesleyan NESCAC 8 8 19 19 62 33 12 59 104 0.10 31 Kean Skyline 14 6 58 91 34 36 35 36 107 0.10 32 Amherst NESCAC 7 7 35 16 53 32 27 52 111 0.10 33 Keene State Little East 13 6 34 70 38 35 39 37 111 0.10 34 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 11 6 25 40 26 38 42 32 112 0.10 35 Colby NESCAC 10 6 31 33 40 34 41 39 114 0.10 36 St. Lawrence Liberty 8 7 28 25 56 37 26 55 118 0.10 37 Union Liberty 11 4 29 39 28 31 63 27 121 0.10 38 St. John Fisher Empire 8 16 2 23 69 10 30 83 10 123 0.10 39 York Capital 7 9 69 22 68 42 15 66 123 0.10 40 McDaniel Centennial 7 8 30 14 58 44 33 53 130 0.10 41 Wittenberg North Coast 10 5 46 65 31 39 54 41 134 0.10 42 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 11 6 48 78 49 46 48 44 138 0.10 43 Williams NESCAC 5 10 27 1 91 41 18 89 148 0.10 44 Washington Colle Centennial 4 10 45 5 101 50 11 88 149 0.10 45 Trinity NESCAC 9 7 32 36 59 40 55 58 153 0.10 46 Kenyon North Coast 6 8 76 54 66 61 28 69 158 0.10 47 Muhlenberg Centennial 6 7 44 20 61 48 50 61 159 0.10 48 Ithaca Empire 8 8 10 47 30 85 52 13 100 165 0.10 49 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 12 4 60 90 33 45 88 34 167 0.10 50 Widener Middle Atlanti 10 10 59 62 90 63 14 91 168 0.10 51 Mary Washington Capital 8 9 50 32 75 55 40 74 169 0.10 52 Gordon Commonwealth 10 5 86 95 51 43 76 51 170 0.10 53 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 8 62 42 67 59 47 64 170 0.10 54 Fairleigh Dickin Middle Atlanti 11 6 70 79 47 53 71 47 171 0.10 55 Babson Pilgrim 10 7 83 85 64 47 64 63 174 0.10 56 Ursinus Centennial 8 5 38 35 39 57 86 31 174 0.10 57 Marywood CSAC 11 5 78 108 44 68 74 43 185 0.10 58 Brockport SUNYAC 8 6 53 56 54 49 81 56 186 0.10 59 Oneonta SUNYAC 7 9 56 38 89 60 43 83 186 0.10 60 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 5 8 37 10 70 64 56 68 188 0.10 61 Merchant Marine Landmark 7 8 72 48 79 66 46 76 188 0.10 62 Wooster North Coast 9 7 64 74 60 65 62 62 189 0.10 63 Hamilton Liberty 10 4 49 80 37 58 100 35 193 0.10 64 Drew Landmark 8 7 63 51 74 56 66 73 195 0.10 65 Greensboro Independent 9 6 85 72 41 69 92 42 203 0.10 66 Catholic Landmark 12 4 51 93 32 62 118 28 208 0.10 67 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 11 6 55 44 52 54 103 54 211 0.10 68 Colorado College SCAC 12 2 33 104 19 51 142 21 214 0.10 69 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 10 5 96 122 36 75 101 40 216 0.10 70 Roger Williams Commonwealth 10 7 82 107 76 72 72 77 221 0.10 71 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 8 8 57 53 78 74 60 87 221 0.10 72 Wheaton Pilgrim 8 8 80 75 102 67 61 96 224 0.10 73 Messiah Middle Atlanti 9 8 73 83 80 82 67 78 227 0.10 74 New England Coll Commonwealth 10 9 93 98 112 70 49 108 227 0.10 75 Castleton North Atlantic 13 6 122 151 57 71 102 60 233 0.10 76 Clarkson Liberty 3 12 65 13 137 77 24 134 235 0.10 77 Eastern Middle Atlanti 11 5 74 105 48 84 110 49 243 0.10 78 Plymouth State Little East 8 8 90 94 97 80 70 93 243 0.10 79 Oswego SUNYAC 6 10 89 46 107 76 57 111 244 0.10 80 Adrian Midwest 10 3 61 138 25 83 137 25 245 0.10 81 Morrisville Stat NEAC 13 4 100 140 29 91 125 29 245 0.10 82 Bates NESCAC 4 9 43 29 103 90 59 97 246 0.10 83 Mount Ida North Atlantic 12 7 115 150 71 79 96 72 247 0.10 84 Swarthmore Centennial 4 9 52 24 100 85 73 95 253 0.10 85 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 7 8 54 59 82 95 78 84 257 0.10 86 Elmira Empire 8 6 9 94 52 106 87 65 106 258 0.10 87 Whittier Independent 9 6 67 92 63 81 112 65 258 0.10 88 Western Connecti Little East 7 10 88 84 129 78 52 129 259 0.10 89 Salve Regina Commonwealth 9 8 81 96 93 73 87 102 262 0.10 90 Saint Vincent Independent 5 7 95 76 77 92 93 80 265 0.10 91 Hartwick Empire 8 6 8 68 47 88 89 82 99 270 0.10 92 Susquehanna Landmark 8 8 92 88 99 93 91 86 270 0.10 93 MIT Pilgrim 8 7 112 110 81 86 107 79 272 0.10 94 Marymount Capital 4 11 75 43 127 100 51 127 278 0.10 95 Immaculata CSAC 9 6 110 117 55 94 133 57 284 0.10 96 Scranton Landmark 6 9 71 66 111 98 77 112 287 0.10 97 Wesley Capital 3 11 77 34 134 99 58 133 290 0.10 98 Birmingham-South SCAC 7 8 102 102 84 101 109 82 292 0.10 99 Medaille NEAC 9 9 105 114 110 104 84 110 298 0.10 100 Curry Commonwealth 8 9 118 121 115 97 89 115 301 0.10 101 Utica Empire 8 5 10 84 61 123 102 75 126 303 0.10 102 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 11 7 87 115 69 88 149 71 308 0.10 103 Salem State Little East 9 8 111 133 98 96 111 101 308 0.10 104 Washington & Jef Independent 7 6 109 127 72 106 135 70 311 0.10 105 Lasell Pilgrim 5 11 108 89 141 111 68 137 316 0.10 106 Stockton Skyline 7 7 107 123 86 108 123 85 316 0.10 107 King's Middle Atlanti 6 9 101 101 120 109 90 118 317 0.10 108 Vassar Liberty 4 10 79 71 136 112 79 132 323 0.10 109 Clark Pilgrim 6 8 114 124 87 105 139 90 334 0.10 110 Husson North Atlantic 10 8 137 157 92 115 128 92 335 0.10 111 Maritime Skyline 5 10 103 87 131 107 94 135 336 0.10 112 Mass-Dartmouth Little East 7 10 106 116 128 103 105 128 336 0.10 113 Norwich Pilgrim 8 8 136 148 105 110 127 104 341 0.10 114 Centenary CSAC 6 8 128 137 95 125 121 98 344 0.10 115 Fontbonne Midwest 7 9 127 131 108 122 114 109 345 0.10 116 Christopher Newp Independent 7 9 99 86 113 116 117 114 347 0.10 117 Manhattanville Middle Atlanti 5 11 98 82 149 114 85 149 348 0.10 118 Hood Capital 6 11 121 97 125 128 99 124 351 0.10 119 Mount St. Joseph Midwest 4 11 113 81 135 113 97 142 352 0.10 120 Wentworth Tech. Commonwealth 5 9 131 126 124 117 113 123 353 0.10 121 DeSales Middle Atlanti 6 10 91 99 130 118 108 130 356 0.10 122 Sewanee SCAC 4 10 119 103 139 120 98 140 358 0.10 123 Daniel Webster Independent 7 4 156 166 46 150 166 46 362 0.10 124 Keuka NEAC 5 9 117 118 116 130 115 117 362 0.10 125 Alfred Empire 8 3 11 97 68 140 123 95 145 363 0.10 126 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 6 8 144 154 109 127 129 107 363 0.10 127 Carthage Midwest 8 6 125 152 65 138 160 67 365 0.10 128 Trine Midwest 7 6 120 146 73 134 157 75 366 0.10 129 Randolph Old Dominion 0 13 142 55 161 136 69 163 368 0.10 130 Moravian Landmark 2 14 116 67 166 126 80 166 372 0.10 131 Oberlin North Coast 5 9 124 113 96 131 138 105 374 0.10 132 Nichols Commonwealth 5 10 130 135 122 121 132 122 375 0.10 133 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 6 11 104 112 148 124 104 148 376 0.10 134 St. Joseph's (ME North Atlantic 10 8 149 163 94 133 152 94 379 0.10 135 Neumann CSAC 3 11 123 106 121 132 131 121 384 0.10 136 Becker Independent 7 8 147 155 83 145 163 81 389 0.10 137 Guilford Old Dominion 3 13 134 73 152 119 119 153 391 0.10 138 Johnson State North Atlantic 4 8 151 156 114 139 146 113 398 0.10 139 Southern Maine Little East 3 11 126 100 153 129 120 152 401 0.10 140 Alvernia Middle Atlanti 4 13 146 120 163 135 106 162 403 0.10 141 Thomas North Atlantic 4 9 160 160 126 137 141 125 403 0.10 142 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 8 9 139 149 119 141 145 120 406 0.10 143 Emerson Independent 3 7 159 159 104 152 161 103 416 0.10 144 Anna Maria Commonwealth 4 12 145 142 157 144 122 157 423 0.10 145 Albion Midwest 3 8 150 143 117 154 154 116 424 0.10 146 Lebanon Valley Middle Atlanti 2 13 141 111 164 147 116 164 427 0.10 147 Cobleskill NEAC 6 11 129 144 146 148 134 146 428 0.10 148 Misericordia Middle Atlanti 4 12 132 119 158 146 124 158 428 0.10 149 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 3 12 135 128 159 140 130 159 429 0.10 150 Shenandoah CSAC 2 12 140 109 156 149 126 156 431 0.10 151 Otterbein Independent 4 11 138 129 132 143 153 136 432 0.10 152 Lyndon State North Atlantic 3 10 158 158 142 151 143 141 435 0.10 153 Southwestern SCAC 1 11 154 130 133 156 151 131 438 0.10 154 Maine - Farmingt North Atlantic 2 8 165 162 118 158 162 119 439 0.10 155 Mass-Boston Little East 4 11 133 139 138 142 159 138 439 0.10 156 Cazenovia NEAC 2 10 143 134 144 153 144 143 440 0.10 157 MSoE Midwest 1 10 155 125 150 155 140 150 445 0.10 158 Bard Skyline 0 11 163 141 155 157 136 155 448 0.10 159 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 2 10 153 145 143 159 156 139 454 0.10 160 Regis College Commonwealth 1 10 161 153 147 162 155 147 464 0.10 161 Green Mountain North Atlantic 1 11 164 161 154 161 150 154 465 0.10 162 Wells NEAC 2 12 152 147 160 160 147 160 467 0.10 163 Mitchell Independent 2 10 162 165 145 165 165 144 474 0.10 164 Hendrix SCAC 0 13 148 132 165 164 148 165 477 0.10 165 Rivier Independent 0 10 166 164 151 166 164 151 481 0.10 166 PSU - Abington NEAC 0 13 157 136 162 163 158 161 482 0.10