2010 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Virginia ACC 16 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 40.00 2 Duke ACC 16 4 2 6 2 3 2 2 7 15.00 3 Maryland ACC 12 4 4 1 3 4 3 4 11 13.00 4 North Carolina ACC 13 3 5 5 4 2 6 5 13 6.00 5 Cornell Ivy League 12 6 10 11 8 6 5 6 17 1.00 6 Syracuse Big East 13 2 3 16 5 5 9 3 17 6.00 7 Princeton Ivy League 11 5 13 9 6 7 8 7 22 0.10 8 Notre Dame Big East 10 7 7 7 12 10 4 9 23 3.00 9 Stony Brook America East 13 4 8 25 7 8 10 8 26 4.00 10 Georgetown Big East 9 5 12 10 9 9 11 11 31 0.10 11 Johns Hopkins Independent 7 8 11 4 17 11 7 20 38 1.00 12 Army Patriot 11 6 31 14 10 13 12 17 42 0.10 13 Loyola ECAC 9 5 9 12 13 12 20 12 44 0.10 14 Denver ECAC 12 5 21 35 11 14 21 10 45 1.00 15 Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlantic 12 5 35 49 18 16 16 16 48 0.10 16 Brown Ivy League 8 6 17 22 23 19 15 21 55 0.10 17 Hofstra Colonial 9 5 6 21 16 15 25 15 55 4.00 18 Bryant Independent 12 5 24 48 21 24 18 14 56 0.10 19 Towson Colonial 7 8 19 3 22 17 14 31 62 0.10 20 Delaware Colonial 10 7 16 20 20 22 17 24 63 1.00 21 Yale Ivy League 10 4 29 42 15 18 33 13 64 0.10 22 Drexel Colonial 10 5 15 24 14 20 30 19 69 2.00 23 Penn Ivy League 5 8 30 19 38 28 13 33 74 0.10 24 Villanova Big East 10 5 23 32 19 21 35 18 74 0.10 25 Fairfield ECAC 8 6 27 27 28 25 24 26 75 1.00 26 Navy Patriot 7 8 20 15 30 26 19 30 75 1.00 27 Harvard Ivy League 6 6 22 18 26 23 31 25 79 1.00 28 Robert Morris Independent 10 5 26 50 24 27 36 22 85 0.10 29 Jacksonville Independent 6 7 34 39 32 34 26 32 92 0.10 30 Dartmouth Ivy League 5 8 38 23 36 37 23 37 97 0.10 31 Bellarmine ECAC 9 6 47 46 29 32 39 28 99 0.10 32 Massachusetts Colonial 8 6 18 29 27 30 44 27 101 0.10 33 Ohio State ECAC 7 8 28 33 37 33 29 39 101 0.10 34 Albany America East 5 11 43 13 45 38 22 45 105 0.10 35 Bucknell Patriot 8 6 14 31 31 29 47 29 105 0.10 36 Lehigh Patriot 8 7 44 44 35 36 38 35 109 0.10 37 Siena Metro Atlantic 12 5 40 59 25 35 51 23 109 0.10 38 Lafayette Patriot 8 6 25 43 33 31 48 34 113 0.10 39 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 7 9 52 56 44 42 34 44 120 0.10 40 UMBC America East 4 9 36 17 41 41 40 42 123 0.10 41 Penn State Colonial 2 11 39 8 46 44 28 52 124 0.10 42 Rutgers Big East 6 8 33 45 39 39 49 38 126 0.10 43 Hobart ECAC 3 11 41 30 50 47 32 49 128 0.10 44 St. John's Big East 5 9 46 28 40 45 42 41 128 0.10 45 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 7 54 57 42 40 55 40 135 0.10 46 Quinnipiac ECAC 8 6 32 52 34 43 58 36 137 0.10 47 Providence Big East 0 14 55 26 58 56 27 59 142 0.10 48 Holy Cross Patriot 5 10 42 40 52 46 46 51 143 0.10 49 Sacred Heart Independent 4 11 50 47 53 49 43 53 145 0.10 50 Air Force ECAC 1 13 53 36 59 53 37 57 147 0.10 51 Marist Metro Atlantic 8 7 51 60 43 48 59 43 150 0.10 52 Hartford America East 4 10 45 41 49 51 50 50 151 0.10 53 Binghamton America East 4 10 49 38 47 50 56 46 152 0.10 54 Vermont America East 3 13 48 37 54 54 45 54 153 0.10 55 Colgate Patriot 3 10 37 34 48 52 54 48 154 0.10 56 VMI Metro Atlantic 2 13 57 55 57 58 41 58 157 0.10 57 Saint Joseph's Metro Atlantic 3 12 58 53 55 55 53 55 163 0.10 58 Detroit Metro Atlantic 3 12 56 58 56 57 52 56 165 0.10 59 Presbyterian Independent 1 9 59 51 51 59 60 47 166 0.10 60 Wagner Metro Atlantic 1 14 60 54 60 60 57 60 177 0.10